Adrian Mannarino and Sebastian Ofner will square off in the semifinal of the Astana Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.41
Sebastian Ofner -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Sebastian Ofner

There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Sebastian Ofner since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
69
High
17
LLLLWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-37 16-16 5-9 0-6 14-6 0-0
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0
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Ranked no. 34, Adrian reached the semifinal after beating Arthur Rinderknech 7-64 6-2, Alibek Kachmazov 6-2 5-7 6-3 and Jurij Rodionov 6-1 7-66.

In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Rodionov (6-1 7-66). During the match, Mannarino scored 73 points vs Rodionov’s 59. Mannarino was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mannarino made 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Adrian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rodionov 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Mannarino has good match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (330-280). 8-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mannarino has an aggregate 80-62 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Newport where he defeated Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4.

Mannarino has a compiled 36-25 win-loss record in 2023, 8-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Astana

Astana
Mannarino's Record

Sebastian Ofner

Sebastian Ofner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
134
High
37
LLLLLLLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-19 0-5 16-10 0-1 4-3 0-0
2024 19-25 6-8 8-13 1-0 4-4 0-0
2023 60-31 12-10 37-13 7-6 4-2 0-0
2022 28-18 4-4 21-12 0-0 3-2 0-0
2021 23-24 4-6 4-8 7-6 8-4 0-0
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Ranked no. 58, the Austrian got to the semifinal after defeating Marton Fucsovics 2-6 6-2 6-3, Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2 and Dominic Thiem 5-7 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter against Thiem, Sebastian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2). During the match Ofner scored 103 points vs Thiem’s 87. Ofner was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Ofner scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Ofner was very effective on serve to win 85% (45/53) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Austrian broke Thiem 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Austrian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Salzburg Challenger where he overcame Lukas Neumayer in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Austrian has an overall 55-25 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Astana

Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.

Astana
Ofner's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Mannarino
S.Ofner
5h:59
5h:59
Time on court​
5h:27
5h:27
1h:44
1h:44
Last match​
!
2h:26
2h:26
3
3
Match played
3
3
70
70
Games Played​
73
73
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
248
248
Total points​
241
241
82.7
82.7
Avg point​
80.3
80.3
97
97
Winners
100
100
32.3
32.3
Avg Winners​
33.3
33.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
10
10
2
2
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
11
11
Double Faults
4
4
3.7
3.7
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
97/140
97/140
1st won total​
100/125
100/125
69%
69%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
53/103
53/103
2nd won total​
53/90
53/90
51%
51%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
15/26
15/26
BP won
9/24
9/24
5/8.7
5/8.7
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
!
58%
58%
Won
38%
38%
27
27
Conceded
11
11
9
9
Avg Conceded
3.7
3.7
8
8
Broken
3
3
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
1
1
19
19
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mannarino Ofner
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 70 73
Pts 248-212 241-200
Total Points 460 441
Winners 97 100
%Winners 39% 41%

Both Mannarino and Ofner played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Adrian Mannarino lost 1 set, while Sebastian Ofner lost 2 sets. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Ofner (7 vs 8). Therefore, Mannarino played 3 games less than Ofner. The French player scored 97 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian recorded 100 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mannarino Ofner
Aces 6 10
Avg per match 2 3.3
1st in 140/243 125/215
%1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 97/140 100/125
%1st pts 69% 80%
2nd pts 53/103 53/90
%2nd pts 51% 59%

Mannarino recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Ofner fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Mannarino won 69% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Ofner won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mannarino Ofner
Won 15 9
Converted 15/26 9/24
% Converted 58% 38%
Conceded 27 11
Saved 19 8
% Saved 70% 73%
Times Broken 8 3

Mannarino broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Mannarino
R1
Rinderknech		 R2
Kachmazov		 1/4
Rodionov		 Total
Score 7-64 6-2 6-2 5-7 6-3 6-1 7-66
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 21 29 20 70
pts 79-67 96-86 73-59 248-212
Total points 146 182 132 460
Winners 34 35 28 97
%Winners 43% 36% 38% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3 6
Double Faults 3 3 5 11
1st in 47/78 55/94 38/71 140/243
% 1st in 60% 59% 54% 58%
1st pts 34/47 35/55 28/38 97/140
% 1st pts 72% 64% 74% 69%
2nd pts 17/31 19/39 17/33 53/103
% 2nd pts 55% 49% 52% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 8 4 15
Converted 3/9 8/13 4/4 15/26
Converted % 33% 62% 100% 58%
Conceded 7 10 10 27
Saved 6/7 5/10 8/10 19
Saved % 86% 50% 80% 72%
Times Broken 1 5 2 8
Ofner
R1
Fucsovics		 R2
Bublik		 1/4
Thiem		 Total
Score 2-6 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 25 18 30 73
pts 76-66 62-47 103-87 241-200
Total points 142 109 190 441
Winners 30 25 45 100
%Winners 39% 40% 44% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 4 10
Double Faults 1 1 2 4
1st in 40/76 32/57 53/82 125/215
% 1st in 53% 56% 65% 58%
1st pts 30/40 25/32 45/53 100/125
% 1st pts 75% 78% 85% 80%
2nd pts 21/36 16/25 16/29 53/90
% 2nd pts 58% 64% 55% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 9
Converted 3/3 3/6 3/15 9/24
Converted % 100% 50% 20% 38%
Conceded 6 2 3 11
Saved 4/6 2/2 2/3 8
Saved % 67% 100% 67% 78%
Times Broken 2 0 1 3

Tennis Scores in Astana

Upcoming matches in the draw

Mannarino
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Ofner

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