Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert will clash against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.182
Ugo Humbert -> 4.85

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Humbert won 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(2) in the R in Atp cup back in 2022.

Highlights Ugo Humbert vs Daniil Medvedev – Atp cup 02-January-2022

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Medvedev got to the quarter after beating Tommy Paul 6-2 6-1 and Alex De Minaur 7-63 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (7-63 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 83 points vs De Minaur’s 74. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev blasted 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (35/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (480-190). 35-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 216-68 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.

The Russian has a composed 57-12 win-loss record in 2023, 35-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Medvedev has never competed in this tournament before.

Beijing
Medvedev's Record

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
37
High
13
LWWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-20 8-9 2-5 11-2 4-4 0-0
2024 39-24 18-9 5-7 11-4 5-4 0-0
2023 49-26 17-11 13-5 16-6 3-4 0-0
2022 33-29 16-11 3-7 11-6 3-5 0-0
2021 19-20 6-7 1-6 4-5 8-2 0-0

Ranked no. 36, the French player got to the quarter after beating Lorenzo Sonego 7-5 3-6 6-0 and Andrey Rublev 5-7 6-3 7-63.

In the 2nd round against Rublev, Humbert recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 7-63). During the match Humbert scored 120 points vs Rublev’s 114. The French player was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Humbert fired 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ugo Humbert lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 56% of his first serves in, winning 71% (52/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (25/58) on the 2nd serve. Ugo broke Rublev 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cagliari Challenger where he beat Laslo Djere in the final 4-6 7-5 6-4 and the Bordeaux Challenger where he defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 7-6(3) 6-4.

The French player has a compiled 38-22 win-loss record in 2023, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Beijing
Humbert's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
U.Humbert
3h:17
3h:17
Time on court​
!
5h:13
5h:13
1h:57
1h:57
Last match​
!
2h:48
2h:48
2
2
Match played
2
2
37
37
Games Played​
61
61
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
149
149
Total points​
208
208
74.5
74.5
Avg point​
104
104
64
64
Winners
86
86
32
32
Avg Winners​
43
43
43%
43%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
13
13
6
6
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
11
11
Double Faults
4
4
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
64/81
64/81
1st won total​
86/118
86/118
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
18/43
18/43
2nd won total​
42/93
42/93
42%
42%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
8/20
8/20
BP won
10/22
10/22
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
5/11
5/11
40%
40%
Won
45%
45%
7
7
Conceded
20
20
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
10
10
3
3
Broken
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
4
4
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Humbert
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 37 61
Pts 149-111 208-194
Total Points 260 402
Winners 64 86
%Winners 43% 41%

Both Medvedev and Humbert played 2 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert surrendered 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Humbert (4 vs 6). Therefore, Medvedev played 24 games less than Humbert. The Russian scored 64 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo managed to score 86 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Humbert
Aces 12 13
Avg per match 6 6.5
1st in 81/124 118/211
%1st in 65% 56%
1st pts 64/81 86/118
%1st pts 79% 73%
2nd pts 18/43 42/93
%2nd pts 42% 45%

Medvedev scored 12 aces (6 per match). Humbert managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Medvedev won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Humbert
Won 8 10
Converted 8/20 10/22
% Converted 40% 45%
Conceded 7 20
Saved 4 13
% Saved 57% 65%
Times Broken 3 7

Daniil broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Paul
R2
De Minaur
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-63 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 22 37
pts 66-37 83-74 149-111
Total points 103 157 260
Winners 29 35 64
%Winners 44% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 9 3 12
Double Faults 3 8 11
1st in 34/50 47/74 81/124
% 1st in 68% 64% 65%
1st pts 29/34 35/47 64/81
% 1st pts 85% 74% 79%
2nd pts 7/16 11/27 18/43
% 2nd pts 44% 41% 42%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/11 3/9 8/20
Converted % 45% 33% 40%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 3/4 1/3 4
Saved % 75% 33% 54%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Humbert
R1
Sonego
R2
Rublev
Total
Score 7-5 3-6 6-0 5-7 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 27 34 61
pts 88-80 120-114 208-194
Total points 168 234 402
Winners 34 52 86
%Winners 39% 43% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 11 13
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 45/80 73/131 118/211
% 1st in 56% 56% 56%
1st pts 34/45 52/73 86/118
% 1st pts 76% 71% 73%
2nd pts 17/35 25/58 42/93
% 2nd pts 49% 43% 45%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/12 5/10 10/22
Converted % 42% 50% 45%
Conceded 5 15 20
Saved 3/5 10/15 13
Saved % 60% 67% 64%
Times Broken 2 5 7

Tennis Scores in Beijing

  • Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey RublevAlexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin KrajicekMarcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (7-65 4-6 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw