Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert will clash against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.182
Ugo Humbert -> 4.85
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Humbert won 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(2) in the R in Atp cup back in 2022.
Highlights Ugo Humbert vs Daniil Medvedev – Atp cup 02-January-2022
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Medvedev got to the quarter after beating Tommy Paul 6-2 6-1 and Alex De Minaur 7-63 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (7-63 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 83 points vs De Minaur’s 74. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev blasted 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (35/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (480-190). 35-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 216-68 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
The Russian has a composed 57-12 win-loss record in 2023, 35-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Medvedev has never competed in this tournament before.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-20 | 8-9 | 2-5 | 11-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, the French player got to the quarter after beating Lorenzo Sonego 7-5 3-6 6-0 and Andrey Rublev 5-7 6-3 7-63.
In the 2nd round against Rublev, Humbert recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 7-63). During the match Humbert scored 120 points vs Rublev’s 114. The French player was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Humbert fired 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ugo Humbert lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 56% of his first serves in, winning 71% (52/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (25/58) on the 2nd serve. Ugo broke Rublev 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cagliari Challenger where he beat Laslo Djere in the final 4-6 7-5 6-4 and the Bordeaux Challenger where he defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 7-6(3) 6-4.
The French player has a compiled 38-22 win-loss record in 2023, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 61 |
| Pts | 149-111 | 208-194 |
| Total Points | 260 | 402 |
| Winners | 64 | 86 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Medvedev and Humbert played 2 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert surrendered 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Humbert (4 vs 6). Therefore, Medvedev played 24 games less than Humbert. The Russian scored 64 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo managed to score 86 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 81/124 | 118/211 |
| %1st in | 65% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 64/81 | 86/118 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 42/93 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 45% |
Medvedev scored 12 aces (6 per match). Humbert managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Medvedev won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 40% | 45% |
| Conceded | 7 | 20 |
| Saved | 4 | 13 |
| % Saved | 57% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Daniil broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Paul |
R2 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 37 | |
| pts | 66-37 | 83-74 | 149-111 | |
| Total points | 103 | 157 | 260 | |
| Winners | 29 | 35 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 34/50 | 47/74 | 81/124 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 35/47 | 64/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 74% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 11/27 | 18/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 41% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/9 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Humbert | ||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 6-0 | 5-7 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 34 | 61 | |
| pts | 88-80 | 120-114 | 208-194 | |
| Total points | 168 | 234 | 402 | |
| Winners | 34 | 52 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/80 | 73/131 | 118/211 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 52/73 | 86/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 25/58 | 42/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 43% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/10 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 15 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 10/15 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (7-65 4-6 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nicolas JarryJarry (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
