Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov will square off in the quarter of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 9:00 pm on DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.26
Grigor Dimitrov -> 3.86
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-3 6-4 in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov – Miami 26-March-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-1 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Sinner got to the quarter after defeating Daniel Evans 6-4 6-72 6-3 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-2 6-0). During the match, Sinner scored 60 points vs Nishioka’s 34. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 49% of his first serves in, winning 90% (19/21) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Nishioka 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has conceded 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 70% of his matches (255-111). 23-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed93-40 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1.
The Italian has a composed 46-13 win-loss record in 2023, 23-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Jannik has never competed in this tournament before.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-9 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Bulgarian reached the quarter after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 7-64 6-1 and Holger Rune 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Dimitrov had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-3 7-5). During the match Dimitrov scored 72 points vs Rune’s 57. Dimitrov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Dimitrov made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was very effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Grigor broke Rune 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grigor has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Grigor’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Geneva.
Grigor has a composed 33-17 win-loss record in 2023, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 49 |
| Pts | 164-130 | 163-138 |
| Total Points | 294 | 301 |
| Winners | 56 | 62 |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% |
Both Sinner and Dimitrov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner surrendered 1 set, while Grigor Dimitrov conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Dimitrov have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sinner played 3 games less than Dimitrov. The Italian scored 56 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 62 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 76/143 | 90/139 |
| %1st in | 53% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 56/76 | 62/90 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 39/67 | 27/49 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 55% |
Sinner bagged 19 aces (9.5 per match). Dimitrov struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Sinner won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 59% | 47% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Jannik broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Bulgarian broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Grigor conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R1 Evans |
R2 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-72 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 14 | 46 | |
| pts | 104-96 | 60-34 | 164-130 | |
| Total points | 200 | 94 | 294 | |
| Winners | 37 | 19 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 55/100 | 21/43 | 76/143 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 49% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 19/21 | 56/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 90% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/45 | 11/22 | 39/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 50% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/11 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Dimitrov | ||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-64 6-1 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 21 | 49 | |
| pts | 91-81 | 72-57 | 163-138 | |
| Total points | 172 | 129 | 301 | |
| Winners | 36 | 26 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 57/84 | 33/55 | 90/139 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 60% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/57 | 26/33 | 62/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 79% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 13/22 | 27/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/11 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 36% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LLWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (7-65 4-6 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nicolas JarryJarry (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
