Adrian Mannarino and Jurij Rodionov will clash against each other in the quarter of the Astana Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.39
Jurij Rodionov -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Jurij Rodionov
This will be the 2nd time that Adrian Mannarino and Jurij Rodionov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rodionov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rodionov won 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Rennes Challenger back in 2019.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-31 | 12-13 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Adrian got to the quarter after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 7-64 6-2 and Alibek Kachmazov 6-2 5-7 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Mannarino defeated Kachmazov (6-2 5-7 6-3). During the match, Mannarino scored 96 points vs Kachmazov’s 86. Adrian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mannarino recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 59% of his first serves in, winning 64% (35/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Adrian broke Kachmazov 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mannarino has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Mannarino has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (329-280). 7-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mannarino has an aggregate 79-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Newport where he overcame Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4.
Adrian has a compiled 35-25 win-loss record in 2023, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
Jurij Rodionov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-22 | 12-8 | 14-10 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-32 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 11-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 3-6 | 15-13 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-31 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 21-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-28 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 107, Jurij reached the quarter after defeating Evgeny Donskoy 6-1 6-2, Jose Statham 7-67 6-4, Gregoire Barrere 2-6 6-4 7-65 and Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Rodionov had a good straight sets win against Baez (6-2 6-4). During the match Rodionov scored 74 points vs Baez’s 53. The Austrian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Rodionov bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jurij Rodionov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jurij broke Baez 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodionov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Biel Challenger where he overcame Liam Broady in the final 6-3 ret..
Jurij has an aggregate 40-26 win-loss record in 2023, 18-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 87 |
| Pts | 175-153 | 299-260 |
| Total Points | 328 | 559 |
| Winners | 69 | 120 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Mannarino played 2 matches while Rodionov competed in 4 matches. Rodionov started his run from the qualifications while Mannarino had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Adrian Mannarino surrendered 1 set, while Jurij Rodionov dropped 1 set. Mannarino has played 4 set(s) less than Rodionov (5 vs 9). Therefore, Mannarino played 37 games less than Rodionov. The French player scored 69 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jurij recorded 120 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 102/172 | 160/271 |
| %1st in | 59% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 69/102 | 120/160 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 36/70 | 60/111 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 54% |
Mannarino managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Rodionov fired 20 aces (5 per match). Mannarino won 68% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Rodionov won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 14/28 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 17 | 22 |
| Saved | 11 | 16 |
| % Saved | 65% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
The French player broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Adrian surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Jurij broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rodionov conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | ||||
| R1 Rinderknech |
R2 Kachmazov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | 6-2 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 50 | |
| pts | 79-67 | 96-86 | 175-153 | |
| Total points | 146 | 182 | 328 | |
| Winners | 34 | 35 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 55/94 | 102/172 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 35/55 | 69/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 64% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 19/39 | 36/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 49% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 8/13 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 62% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 5/10 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 50% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Rodionov | ||||||
| Q1 Donskoy |
Q3 Statham |
R1 Barrere |
R2 Baez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 7-67 6-4 | 2-6 6-4 7-65 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 23 | 31 | 18 | 87 | |
| pts | 56-38 | 76-70 | 93-99 | 74-53 | 299-260 | |
| Total points | 94 | 146 | 192 | 127 | 559 | |
| Winners | 19 | 34 | 41 | 26 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 45% | 44% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 24/47 | 44/74 | 58/98 | 34/52 | 160/271 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 59% | 59% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 19/24 | 34/44 | 41/58 | 26/34 | 120/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 77% | 71% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/30 | 23/40 | 11/18 | 60/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 43% | 58% | 61% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 4/10 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 50% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 2/3 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 63% | 67% | 153% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
WWLWWWWLWW 
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