Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.65
Maria Sakkari -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 9th time that Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 4-3 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sakkari won 6-3 4-6 6-2 in the semifinal in Washington back in August 2023.
Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Jessica Pegula – Washington 05-August-2023
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American got to the semifinal after beating Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-2 and Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-0.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-1 6-0). During the match, Pegula scored 62 points vs Kasatkina’s 32. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula made 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Pegula broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 63% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (288-163). 34-9 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a composed 175-87 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Montreal where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.
Jessica has a compiled 48-15 win-loss record in 2023, 34-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Jessica has never competed in this tournament before.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Maria reached the semifinal after defeating Misaki Doi 6-3 6-1 and Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-2 6-2). During the match Sakkari scored 68 points vs Garcia’s 50. The Greek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Sakkari fired 9 aces and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Maria Sakkari conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 59% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Garcia 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Guadalajara where she defeated Caroline Dolehide in the final 7-5 6-3.
Sakkari has an overall 36-19 win-loss record in 2023, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 32 |
| Pts | 120-69 | 128-84 |
| Total Points | 189 | 212 |
| Winners | 38 | 42 |
| %Winners | 32% | 33% |
Both Pegula and Sakkari played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Sakkari have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Pegula played 4 games less than Sakkari. Jessica scored 38 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Sakkari fired 42 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 47/93 | 55/97 |
| %1st in | 51% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 42/55 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 26/46 | 28/42 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 67% |
Pegula blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Sakkari made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Pegula won 81% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/14 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 83% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Jessica broke her opponents 10 times with a 71% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Greek was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Pegula | ||||
| R2 Bucsa |
1/4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 13 | 28 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 62-32 | 120-69 | |
| Total points | 95 | 94 | 189 | |
| Winners | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 21/50 | 26/43 | 47/93 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 60% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 18/21 | 20/26 | 38/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 9/17 | 26/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/7 | 10/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 86% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sakkari | ||||
| R2 Doi |
1/4 Garcia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 32 | |
| pts | 60-34 | 68-50 | 128-84 | |
| Total points | 94 | 118 | 212 | |
| Winners | 20 | 22 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 23/43 | 32/54 | 55/97 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 22/32 | 42/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 69% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/22 | 28/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 64% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
LLWWLWWLLL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez – Ekaterina Alexandrova/Anna KalinskayaAlexandrova/Anna Kalinskaya (w/o) – See score progression
- Ulrikke Eikeri/Ingrid NeelEikeri/Ingrid Neel – Shuko Aoyama/Ena ShibaharaAoyama/Ena Shibahara (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Jessica PegulaPegula (5-3) – H2H and prediction
