Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.28
Alex De Minaur -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur clash against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in September 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur – U.S. Open 04-September-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Russian got to the 2nd round after beating Tommy Paul 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Paul (6-2 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 66 points vs Paul’s 37. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Paul 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Medvedev has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (479-190). 34-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 215-68 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Medvedev has a composed 56-12 win-loss record in 2023, 34-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Medvedev has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-10 | 12-5 | 9-4 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Alex reached the 2nd round after beating Andy Murray 6-3 5-7 7-66.
In the 1st round, De Minaur defeated Murray (6-3 5-7 7-66). During the match De Minaur scored 111 points vs Murray’s 97. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur bagged 8 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Alex De Minaur was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (46/60) of his 1st serve and 62% (29/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alex broke Murray 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
His best result of the year was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
Alex has an aggregate 39-20 win-loss record in 2023, 24-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 34 |
| Pts | 66-37 | 111-97 |
| Total Points | 103 | 208 |
| Winners | 29 | 46 |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% |
Both Medvedev and De Minaur played 1 match. At the moment, Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than De Minaur (2 vs 3). Therefore, Medvedev played 19 games less than De Minaur. Medvedev scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur blasted 46 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 8 |
| 1st in | 34/50 | 60/107 |
| %1st in | 68% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 46/60 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 29/47 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 62% |
Medvedev scored 9 aces . De Minaur fired 8 aces . Medvedev won 85% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 45% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R1 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 66-37 | 66-37 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/50 | 34/50 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 29/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Murray |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 111-97 | 111-97 | |
| Total points | 208 | 208 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 60/107 | 60/107 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 46/60 | 46/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/47 | 29/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWL
LWWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Fajing Sun/Yi ZhouSun/Yi Zhou (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-72 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Juncheng ShangShang (5-7 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-6 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-5 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Jie Cui/Aoran WangCui/Aoran Wang (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andy MurrayMurray (6-3 5-7 7-66) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Jeff WolfWolf (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Yi ZhouZhou (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-75 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-6 7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Juncheng ShangShang (5-7 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-7(2) 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
