Adrian Mannarino and Alibek Kachmazov will square off in the 2nd round of the Astana Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.32
Alibek Kachmazov -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Alibek Kachmazov
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Alibek Kachmazov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-18 | 5-8 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Mannarino reached the 2nd round after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 7-64 6-2.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (7-64 6-2). During the match, Mannarino scored 79 points vs Rinderknech’s 67. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mannarino scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (34/47) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mannarino broke Rinderknech 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Mannarino has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (328-280). 6-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mannarino has a compiled 78-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Newport where he overcame Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4.
Mannarino has a composed 34-25 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
Alibek Kachmazov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-16 | 8-6 | 6-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-11 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 315, the Russian reached the 2nd round after defeating Fabian Marozsan 6-2 6-4, Damir Dzumhur 7-64 7-68 and Corentin Moutet 6-3 7-65.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-3 7-65). During the match Kachmazov scored 81 points vs Moutet’s 70. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Kachmazov fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alibek Kachmazov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kachmazov put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Moutet 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi and M25 La Nucia.
The Russian has a composed 40-24 win-loss record in 2023, 9-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
Alibek has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 66 |
| Pts | 79-67 | 243-207 |
| Total Points | 146 | 450 |
| Winners | 34 | 80 |
| %Winners | 43% | 33% |
Mannarino played 1 match while Kachmazov competed in 3 matches. Kachmazov started his run from the qualifications while Mannarino had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Mannarino has played 4 set(s) less than Kachmazov (2 vs 6). Therefore, Mannarino played 45 games less than Kachmazov. The French player scored 34 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian blasted 80 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 120/216 |
| %1st in | 60% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 80/120 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 54/96 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 56% |
Mannarino fired 1 ace . Kachmazov also bagged 15 aces (5 per match). Mannarino won 72% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 13 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 13/29 |
| % Converted | 33% | 45% |
| Conceded | 7 | 24 |
| Saved | 6 | 16 |
| % Saved | 86% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
Adrian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Kachmazov broke his opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Kachmazov conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | |||
| R1 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 79-67 | 79-67 | |
| Total points | 146 | 146 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 47/78 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 34/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kachmazov | |||||
| Q1 Marozsan |
Q3 Dzumhur |
R1 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-64 7-68 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 26 | 22 | 66 | |
| pts | 62-47 | 100-90 | 81-70 | 243-207 | |
| Total points | 109 | 190 | 151 | 450 | |
| Winners | 25 | 29 | 26 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 29% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/60 | 50/94 | 37/62 | 120/216 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 53% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 29/50 | 26/37 | 80/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 58% | 70% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 26/44 | 13/25 | 54/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 59% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | 5/11 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 | 5 | 24 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 5/9 | 2/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 56% | 40% | 186% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLLLL
LLWWWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Astana
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (2-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-76 7-64 7-66) – See score progression
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic – Laslo DjereDjere (6-3 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (5-7 7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-7(6) 7-6(4) 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-3 7-6(8)) – See score progression
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (2-6 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
