Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina will face off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.38
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.05
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Pegula won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Rome back in 2021.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Daria Kasatkina – Rome 10-May-2021
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-7 | 11-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Jessica reached the quarter after defeating Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-1 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 58 points vs Bucsa’s 37. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (18/21) of her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jessica broke Bucsa 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (287-163). 33-9 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a compiled 174-87 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Montreal where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.
Pegula has an aggregate 47-15 win-loss record in 2023, 33-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Pegula has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-12 | 12-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Marta Kostyuk 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Despina Papamichail 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Darya had a good straight sets win against Papamichail (6-4 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 80 points vs Papamichail’s 72. Kasatkina was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 77% of her first serves in, winning 61% (40/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Papamichail 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Darya’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide and Eastbourne.
Kasatkina has a composed 34-21 win-loss record in 2023, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 48 |
| Pts | 58-37 | 188-171 |
| Total Points | 95 | 359 |
| Winners | 18 | 91 |
| %Winners | 31% | 48% |
Pegula played 1 match while Kasatkina competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina dropped 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 3 set(s) less than Kasatkina (2 vs 5). Therefore, Pegula played 33 games less than Kasatkina. Pegula scored 18 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Darya fired 91 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
| 1st in | 21/50 | 155/208 |
| %1st in | 42% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 18/21 | 91/155 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/53 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 32% |
Pegula managed to score 2 aces . Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pegula won 86% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 59% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 32% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 14 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 14/23 |
| % Converted | 57% | 61% |
| Conceded | 2 | 32 |
| Saved | 2 | 21 |
| % Saved | 100% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 11 |
The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Pegula pretty effective on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Darya broke her opponents 14 times with a 61% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Bucsa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 58-37 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 21/50 | 21/50 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 42% | |
| 1st pts | 18/21 | 18/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Kostyuk | R2 Papamichail | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 48 | |
| pts | 108-99 | 80-72 | 188-171 | |
| Total points | 207 | 152 | 359 | |
| Winners | 51 | 40 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 50% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 89/122 | 66/86 | 155/208 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 77% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 51/89 | 40/66 | 91/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 61% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/33 | 6/20 | 17/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 30% | 32% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 8/10 | 6/13 | 14/23 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 46% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | 32 | |
| Saved | 9/16 | 12/16 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 75% | 131% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Ulrikke Eikeri/Ingrid NeelEikeri/Ingrid Neel – Shuko Aoyama/Ena ShibaharaAoyama/Ena Shibahara (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction