Maria Sakkari and Caroline Garcia will square off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.43
Caroline Garcia -> 2.83
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 6th time that Maria Sakkari and Caroline Garcia play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Garcia (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sakkari won 6-3 6-0 in the semifinal in Guadalajara back in September 2023.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-9 | 12-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Greek got to the quarter after defeating Misaki Doi 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Doi (6-3 6-1). During the match, Sakkari scored 60 points vs Doi’s 34. The Greek was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari bagged 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari was very efficient on serve to win 87% (20/23) of her 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Maria broke Doi 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Sakkari has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (376-227). 23-11 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a composed 179-113 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Guadalajara where she defeated Caroline Dolehide in the final 7-5 6-3.
Sakkari has an overall 35-19 win-loss record in 2023, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The Greek has never competed in this tournament before.
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-11 | 9-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Garcia got to the quarter after beating Anhelina Kalinina 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Caroline had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-4 6-3). During the match Garcia scored 72 points vs Kalinina’s 54. Caroline was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Garcia managed to score 10 aces and she was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Caroline Garcia was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of her 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Garcia broke Kalinina 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Caroline’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Lyon and Monterrey.
Caroline has a compiled 36-22 win-loss record in 2023, 20-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2017 and 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 |
| Pts | 60-34 | 72-54 |
| Total Points | 94 | 126 |
| Winners | 20 | 27 |
| %Winners | 33% | 38% |
Both Sakkari and Garcia played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Garcia have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sakkari played 3 games less than Garcia. Sakkari scored 20 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Garcia fired 27 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 10 |
| 1st in | 23/43 | 34/60 |
| %1st in | 53% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 27/34 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 15/26 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 58% |
Sakkari managed to score 4 aces . Garcia recorded 10 aces . Sakkari won 87% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 67% | 43% |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Sakkari broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Greek was rock solid on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Garcia broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||
| R2 Doi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 60-34 | 60-34 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 23/43 | 23/43 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 20/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Garcia | |||
| R2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 72-54 | 72-54 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/60 | 34/60 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 27/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWW
LWLWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Ulrikke Eikeri/Ingrid NeelEikeri/Ingrid Neel – Shuko Aoyama/Ena ShibaharaAoyama/Ena Shibahara (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction
