
Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul will play each other in the 1st round of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.25
Tommy Paul -> 3.96
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul – French Open 02-June-2021
Daniil Medvedev
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Russian will start his run in Beijing after he played his last match at the Us Open where he lost 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 to Djokovic in the final on the 10th of September.
Daniil has a compiled 55-12 win-loss record in 2023, 33-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Talking about his overall career, Daniil has an overall 479-192 record. He has a positive 214-68 record on hard.
Previously in Beijing
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Tommy Paul
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 25-9 | 10-4 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13 (career-high), Tommy will start his run in Beijing after he played his last match in the Laver Cup where he lost 7-6(6) 6-2 to Ruud in the round robin on the 23rd of September.
The American has a compiled 40-24 win-loss record in 2023, 25-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Paul’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
In terms of his career, Paul has an overall 344-200 record. He has a positive 171-98 record on hard.
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Yi ZhouZhou (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-5 3-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-75 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Jeff WolfWolf (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andy MurrayMurray (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-1) – H2H and prediction