Despina Papamichail and Natsumi Kawaguchi will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on Show Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Despina Papamichail who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Despina Papamichail is the pick to win this match.
Despina Papamichail -> 1.55
Natsumi Kawaguchi -> 2.46
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Prediction and head to head Despina Papamichail vs. Natsumi Kawaguchi
There is no head to head record between Despina Papamichail and Natsumi Kawaguchi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Despina Papamichail
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-18 | 1-5 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-37 | 21-17 | 6-18 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-36 | 12-13 | 18-20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-30 | 10-9 | 29-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 220, Despina got to the 1st round after beating Lidziya Marozava 6-1 6-1 and Ellen Perez 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, Despina had a good straight sets win against Perez (6-4 6-3). During the match, Papamichail scored 71 points vs Perez’s 61. Despina was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Papamichail recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Despina Papamichail lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Papamichail put 63% of her first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Perez 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Papamichail has good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (369-275). 20-14 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Papamichail has a compiled 148-94 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Greek’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the W40 Mexico City.
Despina has a compiled 26-30 win-loss record in 2023, 20-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Natsumi Kawaguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2023 | 27-18 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| 2022 | 27-16 | 15-9 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 4-2 |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 388, the Japanese got to the 1st round after beating Bibiane Schoofs 6-4 6-3 and Himeno Sakatsume 7-62 6-4.
In the qualifications, Kawaguchi had a good straight sets win against Sakatsume (7-62 6-4). During the match Kawaguchi scored 79 points vs Sakatsume’s 66. Natsumi was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Kawaguchi made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Natsumi Kawaguchi lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kawaguchi put 72% of her first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Natsumi broke Sakatsume 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kawaguchi started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W60 Fukuoka where she beat Katie Boulter in the final w/o.
Natsumi has a compiled 24-12 win-loss record in 2023, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Papamichail | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 42 |
| Pts | 129-92 | 152-123 |
| Total Points | 221 | 275 |
| Winners | 60 | 65 |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% |
Both Papamichail and Kawaguchi played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Papamichail and Kawaguchi have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Papamichail played 9 games less than Kawaguchi. Papamichail scored 60 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Natsumi recorded 65 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Papamichail | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 81/117 | 94/136 |
| %1st in | 69% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 60/81 | 65/94 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 22/42 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 52% |
Papamichail recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kawaguchi struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Papamichail won 74% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kawaguchi won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Papamichail | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 93% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Greek broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Greek lost her serve once and she saved 93% of the break points that she conceded. Kawaguchi broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Kawaguchi conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Papamichail | ||||
| Q1 Marozava |
Q3 Perez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 19 | 33 | |
| pts | 58-31 | 71-61 | 129-92 | |
| Total points | 89 | 132 | 221 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 42% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/46 | 45/71 | 81/117 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 63% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 30/45 | 60/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/10 | 16/26 | 19/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 62% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/9 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 7/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Kawaguchi | ||||
| Q1 Schoofs |
Q3 Sakatsume |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 42 | |
| pts | 73-57 | 79-66 | 152-123 | |
| Total points | 130 | 145 | 275 | |
| Winners | 32 | 33 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 43/65 | 51/71 | 94/136 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 33/51 | 65/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 65% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 10/20 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/8 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 63% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLWLL
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- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction
