Yoshihito Nishioka and Aslan Karatsev will square off in the semifinal of the Zhuhai Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.78
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Yoshihito Nishioka vs. Aslan Karatsev
This will be the 2nd time that Yoshihito Nishioka and Aslan Karatsev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nishioka won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2022.
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-13 | 10-6 | 2-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Nishioka reached the semifinal after defeating Terence Atmane 0-6 6-4 6-2, Lloyd Harris 7-64 7-65 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Yoshihito had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-4 7-5). During the match, Nishioka scored 70 points vs Struff’s 51. Yoshihito was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nishioka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Yoshihito Nishioka was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (37/44) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nishioka broke Struff 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yoshihito has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Nishioka has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (334-217). 11-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nishioka has a compiled 191-117 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Nishioka has a compiled 17-17 win-loss record in 2023, 11-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Zhuhai
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-75 7-65 6-2, Andy Murray 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Cameron Norrie 7-65 7-65.
In the quarter, Aslan had a good straight sets win against Norrie (7-65 7-65). During the match Karatsev scored 82 points vs Norrie’s 78. Aslan was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Karatsev fired 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (40/52) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Norrie once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aslan has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Aslan’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune and Madrid.
Karatsev has a composed 28-18 win-loss record in 2023, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nishioka | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 87 |
| Pts | 221-197 | 299-262 |
| Total Points | 418 | 561 |
| Winners | 108 | 131 |
| %Winners | 49% | 44% |
Both Nishioka and Karatsev played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Yoshihito Nishioka dropped 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev conceded 2 sets. Nishioka has played 1 set(s) less than Karatsev (7 vs 8). Therefore, Nishioka played 15 games less than Karatsev. The Japanese scored 108 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian blasted 131 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nishioka | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 145/206 | 163/266 |
| %1st in | 70% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 108/145 | 131/163 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 41/61 | 55/103 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 53% |
Nishioka blasted 3 aces (1 per match). Karatsev struck 35 aces (11.7 per match). Nishioka won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nishioka | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 10/28 |
| % Converted | 60% | 36% |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 60% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Yoshihito broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Nishioka lost his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. Aslan conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nishioka | |||||
| R1 Atmane |
R2 Lloyd |
1/4 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0-6 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 7-65 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 26 | 22 | 72 | |
| pts | 71-71 | 80-75 | 70-51 | 221-197 | |
| Total points | 142 | 155 | 121 | 418 | |
| Winners | 29 | 42 | 37 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 53% | 53% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/70 | 52/74 | 44/62 | 145/206 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | 71% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/49 | 42/52 | 37/44 | 108/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 81% | 84% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 16/22 | 10/18 | 41/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 73% | 56% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 0/1 | 3/5 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 0% | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 40% | – | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Karatsev | |||||
| R1 Arnaldi |
R2 Murray |
1/4 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-65 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 7-65 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 27 | 26 | 87 | |
| pts | 120-101 | 97-83 | 82-78 | 299-262 | |
| Total points | 221 | 180 | 160 | 561 | |
| Winners | 50 | 41 | 40 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 9 | 9 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 60/95 | 51/88 | 52/83 | 163/266 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 58% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 50/60 | 41/51 | 40/52 | 131/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 80% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 15/37 | 20/31 | 55/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 41% | 65% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/13 | 1/4 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 25% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 0% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWLW
LL Tennis Scores in Zhuhai
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-2) – H2H and prediction
