Liam Broady and Constant Lestienne will square off in the final of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Broady who should win in 3 sets.
Liam Broady -> 1.615
Constant Lestienne -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Liam Broady vs. Constant Lestienne
This will be the 4th time that Liam Broady and Constant Lestienne play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Broady (see full H2H stats), but Lestienne leads 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Broady won 6-1 6-3 7-5 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2023.
Liam Broady
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-21 | 30-10 | 10-4 | 23-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 23-9 | 2-4 | 15-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 16-9 | 2-5 | 10-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-26 | 19-10 | 7-5 | 16-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103 (career-high), Liam got to the final after beating Dan Added 6-0 3-6 6-4, Lukas Klein 6-2 6-2, Arthur Cazaux 7-64 3-0 ret. and Radu Albot 7-63 7-5.
In the semifinal, Broady had a good straight sets win against Albot (7-63 7-5). During the match, Broady scored 73 points vs Albot’s 69. Broady was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Broady scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Liam Broady lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Broady put 54% of his first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brit was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Albot 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Liam has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Broady has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (386-264). 23-8 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Broady has a compiled 214-123 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Vilnius Challenger where he overcame Zdenek Kolar in the final 6-4 6-4.
Liam has a compiled 42-22 win-loss record in 2023, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Constant Lestienne
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-18 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 7-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-31 | 17-15 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 22-12 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-27 | 25-6 | 4-7 | 18-11 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 10-3 | 4-9 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, Lestienne reached the final after beating Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-2, Harold Mayot 6-3 3-6 6-3, Sebastian Ofner 6-1 ret. and Michael Mmoh 5-3 ret..
In the semifinal against Mmoh, Lestienne had a free pass after Mmoh retired on a 5-3 . scoreline.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Stanford Challenger where he beat Emilio Nava in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.
The French player has an aggregate 18-24 win-loss record in 2023, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Broady | Lestienne |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 59 |
| Pts | 297-239 | 199-148 |
| Total Points | 536 | 347 |
| Winners | 118 | 87 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Broady and Lestienne played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liam Broady lost 1 set, while Constant Lestienne dropped 1 set. Broady has played 1 set more than Lestienne (10 vs 9). Therefore, Broady played 23 games more than Lestienne. The Brit scored 118 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Lestienne fired 87 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Broady | Lestienne |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 151/268 | 121/183 |
| %1st in | 56% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 118/151 | 87/121 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 57/117 | 38/62 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 61% |
Broady fired 11 aces (2.8 per match). Lestienne bagged 17 aces (4.3 per match). Broady won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Lestienne won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Broady | Lestienne |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 11 |
| Converted | 15/28 | 11/21 |
| % Converted | 54% | 52% |
| Conceded | 19 | 10 |
| Saved | 12 | 6 |
| % Saved | 63% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 4 |
The Brit broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Liam conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Broady | ||||||
| R1 Added | R2 Klein | 1/4 Cazaux | 1/2 Albot | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 3-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-64 3-0 ret. | 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 16 | 16 | 25 | 82 | |
| pts | 91-72 | 66-43 | 67-55 | 73-69 | 297-239 | |
| Total points | 163 | 109 | 122 | 142 | 536 | |
| Winners | 34 | 27 | 26 | 31 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% | 39% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 43/78 | 35/57 | 35/63 | 38/70 | 151/268 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 61% | 56% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 27/35 | 26/35 | 31/38 | 118/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 77% | 74% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 13/22 | 15/28 | 14/32 | 57/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 59% | 54% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/6 | 2/7 | 4/4 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 67% | 29% | 100% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 0/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Lestienne | ||||||
| R1 Gaston | R2 Mayot | 1/4 Ofner | 1/2 Mmoh | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 6-1 ret. | 5-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 59 | |
| pts | 60-39 | 87-78 | 25-9 | 27-22 | 199-148 | |
| Total points | 99 | 165 | 34 | 49 | 347 | |
| Winners | 27 | 41 | 11 | 8 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% | 44% | 30% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 60/89 | 12/18 | 13/23 | 121/183 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 67% | 57% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 41/60 | 11/12 | 8/13 | 87/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 68% | 92% | 62% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 17/29 | 5/6 | 7/10 | 38/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 59% | 83% | 70% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Liam BroadyBroady – Constant LestienneLestienne (2-1) – H2H and prediction