Liam Broady and Constant Lestienne will square off in the final of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Broady who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liam Broady is the pick to win this match.
Liam Broady -> 1.615
Constant Lestienne -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Liam Broady vs. Constant Lestienne

This will be the 4th time that Liam Broady and Constant Lestienne play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Broady (see full H2H stats), but Lestienne leads 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Broady won 6-1 6-3 7-5 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2023.

Liam Broady

Liam Broady

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
308
High
93
WWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-21 30-10 10-4 23-6 1-1 0-0
2024 10-18 8-13 0-0 2-3 0-2 0-0
2023 45-28 23-9 2-4 15-9 5-6 0-0
2022 36-25 16-9 2-5 10-5 8-6 0-0
2021 45-26 19-10 7-5 16-7 3-4 0-0

Ranked no. 103 (career-high), Liam got to the final after beating Dan Added 6-0 3-6 6-4, Lukas Klein 6-2 6-2, Arthur Cazaux 7-64 3-0 ret. and Radu Albot 7-63 7-5.

In the semifinal, Broady had a good straight sets win against Albot (7-63 7-5). During the match, Broady scored 73 points vs Albot’s 69. Broady was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Broady scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Liam Broady lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Broady put 54% of his first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brit was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Albot 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Liam has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Broady has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (386-264). 23-8 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Broady has a compiled 214-123 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Vilnius Challenger where he overcame Zdenek Kolar in the final 6-4 6-4.

Liam has a compiled 42-22 win-loss record in 2023, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

St. Tropez Challenger
Broady's Record

Constant Lestienne

Constant Lestienne

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
354
High
48
LLLLWLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-18 7-11 0-1 7-4 0-2 0-0
2024 28-31 17-15 0-3 8-9 3-4 0-0
2023 32-29 22-12 0-5 7-6 3-6 0-0
2022 51-27 25-6 4-7 18-11 4-3 0-0
2021 24-20 10-3 4-9 10-7 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 107, Lestienne reached the final after beating Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-2, Harold Mayot 6-3 3-6 6-3, Sebastian Ofner 6-1 ret. and Michael Mmoh 5-3 ret..

In the semifinal against Mmoh, Lestienne had a free pass after Mmoh retired on a 5-3 . scoreline.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Stanford Challenger where he beat Emilio Nava in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

The French player has an aggregate 18-24 win-loss record in 2023, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

St. Tropez Challenger
Lestienne's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Broady
C.Lestienne
!
6h:46
6h:46
Time on court​
4h:11
4h:11
1h:48
1h:48
Last match​
!
0h:48
0h:48
4
4
Match played
4
4
82
82
Games Played​
59
59
10
10
Set played​​
9
9
297
297
Total points​
199
199
74.3
74.3
Avg point​
49.8
49.8
118
118
Winners
87
87
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
21.8
21.8
40%
40%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
17
17
2.8
2.8
Avg Aces
4.3
4.3
14
14
Double Faults
3
3
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
118/151
118/151
1st won total​
87/121
87/121
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
57/117
57/117
2nd won total​
38/62
38/62
49%
49%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
15/28
15/28
BP won
11/21
11/21
3.8/7
3.8/7
Avg BP won
2.8/5.3
2.8/5.3
!
54%
54%
Won
!
52%
52%
19
19
Conceded
10
10
4.8
4.8
Avg Conceded
2.5
2.5
7
7
Broken
4
4
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1
1
12
12
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Broady Lestienne
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 9
Tot Games 82 59
Pts 297-239 199-148
Total Points 536 347
Winners 118 87
%Winners 40% 44%

Both Broady and Lestienne played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liam Broady lost 1 set, while Constant Lestienne dropped 1 set. Broady has played 1 set more than Lestienne (10 vs 9). Therefore, Broady played 23 games more than Lestienne. The Brit scored 118 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Lestienne fired 87 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Broady Lestienne
Aces 11 17
Avg per match 2.8 4.3
1st in 151/268 121/183
%1st in 56% 66%
1st pts 118/151 87/121
%1st pts 78% 72%
2nd pts 57/117 38/62
%2nd pts 49% 61%

Broady fired 11 aces (2.8 per match). Lestienne bagged 17 aces (4.3 per match). Broady won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Lestienne won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Broady Lestienne
Won 15 11
Converted 15/28 11/21
% Converted 54% 52%
Conceded 19 10
Saved 12 6
% Saved 63% 60%
Times Broken 7 4

The Brit broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Liam conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Broady
R1
Added
R2
Klein
1/4
Cazaux
1/2
Albot
Total
Score 6-0 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2 7-64 3-0 ret. 7-63 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 9
Tot Games 25 16 16 25 82
pts 91-72 66-43 67-55 73-69 297-239
Total points 163 109 122 142 536
Winners 34 27 26 31 118
%Winners 37% 41% 39% 42% 40%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 2 1 11
Double Faults 5 4 2 3 14
1st in 43/78 35/57 35/63 38/70 151/268
% 1st in 55% 61% 56% 54% 56%
1st pts 34/43 27/35 26/35 31/38 118/151
% 1st pts 79% 77% 74% 82% 78%
2nd pts 15/35 13/22 15/28 14/32 57/117
% 2nd pts 43% 59% 54% 44% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 4 2 4 15
Converted 5/11 4/6 2/7 4/4 15/28
Converted % 45% 67% 29% 100% 54%
Conceded 9 3 4 3 19
Saved 6/9 3/3 3/4 0/3 12
Saved % 67% 100% 75% 0% 61%
Times Broken 3 0 1 3 7
Lestienne
R1
Gaston
R2
Mayot
1/4
Ofner
1/2
Mmoh
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1 ret. 5-3 ret.
Tot Set 2 3 1 1 7
Tot Games 17 27 7 8 59
pts 60-39 87-78 25-9 27-22 199-148
Total points 99 165 34 49 347
Winners 27 41 11 8 87
%Winners 45% 47% 44% 30% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 10 3 0 17
Double Faults 1 2 0 0 3
1st in 36/53 60/89 12/18 13/23 121/183
% 1st in 68% 67% 67% 57% 66%
1st pts 27/36 41/60 11/12 8/13 87/121
% 1st pts 75% 68% 92% 62% 72%
2nd pts 9/17 17/29 5/6 7/10 38/62
% 2nd pts 53% 59% 83% 70% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 3 2 2 11
Converted 4/7 3/6 2/3 2/5 11/21
Converted % 57% 50% 67% 40% 52%
Conceded 1 6 0 3 10
Saved 0/1 4/6 0/0 2/3 6
Saved % 0% 67% 67% 34%
Times Broken 1 2 0 1 4

Upcoming matches in the draw