Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer will fight against each other in the final of the Antofagasta Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.44
Tristan Boyer -> 2.69

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tristan Boyer

There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
49
High
43
LWLLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 5-9 27-14 1-3 0-3 0-0
2024 58-30 6-5 52-24 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 41-26 0-2 41-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-24 3-4 36-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-24 4-2 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 196, Camilo got to the final after beating Tomas Farjat 6-1 6-0, Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-65 3-6 6-2, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-65 6-2 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 60 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 47. Ugo Carabelli was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 73% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Andres Burruchaga 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo Carabelli has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (277-163). 30-19 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has a composed250-139 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Ugo Carabelli’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Meerbusch Challenger.

Camilo has an aggregate 30-21 win-loss record in 2023, 30-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Antofagasta Challenger

Ugo Carabelli has never competed in this tournament before.

Antofagasta Challenger
Ugo Carabelli's Record

Tristan Boyer

Tristan Boyer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
180
High
106
LLLWWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-32 12-13 6-15 0-1 2-3 0-0
2024 44-29 15-12 27-15 2-1 0-1 0-0
2023 33-23 15-11 18-12 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 5-2 4-1 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 370, Tristan reached the final after beating Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 1-6 7-69, Gustavo Heide 6-4 3-6 6-4, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 7-66 6-2 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 7-5.

In the semifinal, Tristan had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 7-5). During the match Boyer scored 71 points vs Darderi’s 56. Tristan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Boyer made 3 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tristan Boyer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Boyer put 71% of his first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. Tristan broke Darderi 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Savannah Challenger.

Boyer has a compiled 29-18 win-loss record in 2023, 16-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Antofagasta Challenger
Boyer's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ugo Carabelli
T.Boyer
6h:39
6h:39
Time on court​
8h:40
8h:40
1h:23
1h:23
Last match​
1h:42
1h:42
4
4
Match played
4
4
84
84
Games Played​
100
100
9
9
Set played​​
10
10
294
294
Total points​
332
332
73.5
73.5
Avg point​
83
83
128
128
Winners
147
147
32
32
Avg Winners​
36.8
36.8
44%
44%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
10
10
2
2
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
10
10
Double Faults
8
8
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
128/191
128/191
1st won total​
147/217
147/217
67%
67%
1st won %
68%
68%
48/82
48/82
2nd won total​
55/110
55/110
59%
59%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
17/27
17/27
BP won
15/35
15/35
4.3/6.8
4.3/6.8
Avg BP won
3.8/8.8
3.8/8.8
!
63%
63%
Won
43%
43%
18
18
Conceded
26
26
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
7
7
Broken
11
11
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
11
11
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ugo Carabelli Boyer
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 10
Tot Games 84 100
Pts 294-230 332-315
Total Points 524 647
Winners 128 147
%Winners 44% 44%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Boyer played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set, while Tristan Boyer dropped 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Boyer (9 vs 10). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 16 games less than Boyer. Camilo scored 128 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Tristan scored 147 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ugo Carabelli Boyer
Aces 8 10
Avg per match 2 2.5
1st in 191/273 217/327
%1st in 70% 66%
1st pts 128/191 147/217
%1st pts 67% 68%
2nd pts 48/82 55/110
%2nd pts 59% 50%

Ugo Carabelli struck 8 aces (2 per match). Boyer fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Boyer won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ugo Carabelli Boyer
Won 17 15
Converted 17/27 15/35
% Converted 63% 43%
Conceded 18 26
Saved 11 15
% Saved 61% 58%
Times Broken 7 11

Camilo broke his opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. Tristan conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
R1
Farjat
R2
Manuel Cerundolo
1/4
Pucinelli De Almeida
1/2
Andres Burruchaga
Total
Score 6-1 6-0 7-65 3-6 6-2 7-65 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 13 30 21 20 84
pts 54-26 109-99 71-58 60-47 294-230
Total points 80 208 129 107 524
Winners 23 42 35 28 128
%Winners 43% 39% 49% 47% 44%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 2 2 8
Double Faults 1 5 2 2 10
1st in 29/38 72/108 50/72 40/55 191/273
% 1st in 76% 67% 69% 73% 70%
1st pts 23/29 42/72 35/50 28/40 128/191
% 1st pts 79% 58% 70% 70% 67%
2nd pts 6/9 19/36 13/22 10/15 48/82
% 2nd pts 67% 53% 59% 67% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 6 3 3 17
Converted 5/12 6/8 3/3 3/4 17/27
Converted % 42% 75% 100% 75% 63%
Conceded 0 9 6 3 18
Saved 0/0 4/9 5/6 2/3 11
Saved % 44% 83% 67% 49%
Times Broken 0 5 1 1 7
Boyer
R1
Tabilo
R2
Heide
1/4
Lucas Reis Da
1/2
Darderi
Total
Score 6-3 1-6 7-69 6-4 3-6 6-4 7-66 6-2 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 2 2 10
Tot Games 29 29 21 21 100
pts 97-104 95-94 69-61 71-56 332-315
Total points 201 189 130 127 647
Winners 48 41 32 26 147
%Winners 49% 43% 46% 37% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 4 3 10
Double Faults 3 4 1 0 8
1st in 69/106 58/94 49/69 41/58 217/327
% 1st in 65% 62% 71% 71% 66%
1st pts 48/69 41/58 32/49 26/41 147/217
% 1st pts 70% 71% 65% 63% 68%
2nd pts 15/37 18/36 13/20 9/17 55/110
% 2nd pts 41% 50% 65% 53% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 6 15
Converted 3/10 3/10 3/5 6/10 15/35
Converted % 30% 30% 60% 60% 43%
Conceded 13 4 3 6 26
Saved 9/13 1/4 2/3 3/6 15
Saved % 69% 25% 67% 50% 53%
Times Broken 4 3 1 3 11

Upcoming matches in the draw