Cameron Norrie and Aslan Karatsev will face off in the quarter of the Zhuhai Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.59
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Aslan Karatsev
This will be the 3rd time that Cameron Norrie and Aslan Karatsev clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Norrie (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Norrie won 6-7(8) 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Stockholm back in 2022.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Aslan Karatsev – Stockholm 19-October-2022
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-15 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, the Brit got to the quarter after defeating Marc Polmans 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Norrie had a good straight sets win against Polmans (6-0 6-3). During the match, Norrie scored 57 points vs Polmans’s 33. Norrie was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Norrie made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie was very effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Polmans 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (333-192). 14-8 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Norrie has an aggregate 209-92 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 6-4 7-5.
The Brit has an overall 35-19 win-loss record in 2023, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Zhuhai
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, the Russian reached the quarter after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-75 7-65 6-2 and Andy Murray 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Murray, Aslan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Karatsev scored 97 points vs Murray’s 83. Karatsev was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Karatsev fired 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 80% (41/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Murray 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karatsev has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Aslan’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Pune and Madrid.
Aslan has a composed 27-18 win-loss record in 2023, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 61 |
| Pts | 57-33 | 217-184 |
| Total Points | 90 | 401 |
| Winners | 22 | 91 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Norrie played 1 match while Karatsev competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Aslan Karatsev dropped 2 sets while Cameron Norrie hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Norrie has played 4 set(s) less than Karatsev (2 vs 6). Therefore, Norrie played 46 games less than Karatsev. Norrie scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 91 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 13 |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 111/183 |
| %1st in | 64% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 91/111 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 35/72 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 49% |
Norrie recorded 5 aces . Karatsev bagged 26 aces (13 per match). Norrie won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 |
| Saved | 0 | 5 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Cameron broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Cameron very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Karatsev conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||
| R2 Polmans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 57-33 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 28/44 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 22/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Karatsev | ||||
| R1 Arnaldi |
R2 Murray |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-65 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 27 | 61 | |
| pts | 120-101 | 97-83 | 217-184 | |
| Total points | 221 | 180 | 401 | |
| Winners | 50 | 41 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 17 | 9 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 60/95 | 51/88 | 111/183 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 50/60 | 41/51 | 91/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 80% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 15/37 | 35/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 41% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/13 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLLLW
LLWWLWWWLW 
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- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
