Jessika Ponchet and Moyuka Uchijima will face off in the 1st round of the Guangzhou Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Moyuka Uchijima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Moyuka Uchijima is the pick to win this match.
Moyuka Uchijima -> 1.66
Jessika Ponchet -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Jessika Ponchet vs. Moyuka Uchijima
This will be the 2nd time that Jessika Ponchet and Moyuka Uchijima fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ponchet (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Ponchet won 7-6(2) 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Montpellier back in 2018.
Jessika Ponchet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-31 | 12-10 | 6-5 | 12-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 15-13 | 6-6 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 10-9 | 7-4 | 25-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-26 | 13-8 | 8-3 | 11-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-19 | 19-9 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 149, the French player got to the 1st round after beating Yidi Yang 6-3 6-0.
Ponchet has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (259-171). 10-8 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ponchet has an overall91-56 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title the W40 Macon where she beat Yanina Wickmayer in the final 6-3 2-6 6-4.
Jessika has a compiled 32-21 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Guangzhou
Jessika has never competed in this tournament before.
Moyuka Uchijima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-32 | 15-21 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-26 | 25-14 | 22-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-34 | 23-21 | 7-9 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-28 | 24-15 | 19-5 | 11-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-9 | 19-5 | 8-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 173, Moyuka got to the 1st round after defeating Yiming Dang 6-1 6-2 and Viktoria Hruncakova 7-63 6-3.
In the qualifications, Uchijima had a good straight sets win against Kuzmova (7-63 6-3). During the match Uchijima scored 81 points vs Kuzmova’s 72. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Uchijima made 13 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Moyuka Uchijima lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Uchijima put 46% of her first serves in, winning 64% (25/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (26/45) on the 2nd serve. Moyuka broke Kuzmova 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Uchijima’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the W60 Astana.
The Japanese has a compiled 26-27 win-loss record in 2023, 14-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ponchet | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 37 |
| Pts | 60-36 | 142-109 |
| Total Points | 96 | 251 |
| Winners | 20 | 47 |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% |
Ponchet played 1 match while Uchijima competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Ponchet has played 2 set(s) less than Uchijima (2 vs 4). Therefore, Ponchet played 22 games less than Uchijima. Jessika scored 20 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Moyuka fired 47 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ponchet | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 24/46 | 70/136 |
| %1st in | 52% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 47/70 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 39/66 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 59% |
Ponchet struck 3 aces . Uchijima blasted 21 aces (10.5 per match). Ponchet won 83% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Uchijima won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ponchet | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 63% | 39% |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Ponchet broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Moyuka broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Uchijima conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ponchet | ||||
| Q1 Yang |
Q3 Yang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 7-64 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 14 | 29 | |
| pts | 60-36 | – | 60-36 | |
| Total points | 96 | 0 | 96 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | ||
| %Winners | 33% | 0% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 24/46 | / | 24/46 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 0% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | / | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 0% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | / | 12/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 0% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | ||
| Converted | 5/8 | / | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 0% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | ||
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/ | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | ||
| Uchijima | ||||
| Q1 Dang |
Q3 Kuzmova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 37 | |
| pts | 61-37 | 81-72 | 142-109 | |
| Total points | 98 | 153 | 251 | |
| Winners | 22 | 25 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 31% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 13 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 31/52 | 39/84 | 70/136 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 46% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 25/39 | 47/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 64% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 26/45 | 39/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/9 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 44% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWL
LLLLWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Guangzhou
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Diane ParryParry (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (6-73 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Claire LiuLiu (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clara TausonTauson – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-2 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Harriet DartDart – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Kateryna BaindlBaindl (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frederico GilGil – Collin JohnsJohns (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro GomezGomez – Ryan NijboerNijboer (6-1 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip BergeviBergevi – Louis WesselsWessels (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (7-63 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jaume Pla MalfeitoPla Malfeito – Jonathan PearlmanPearlman (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Junior A. OreA. Ore – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (5-7 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Danny ThomasThomas (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven – Temur IsmailovIsmailov (6-0 2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Isaiah StrodeStrode – William GrantGrant (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sam RifficeRiffice – Or Ram-HarelRam-Harel (4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Despina PapamichailPapamichail – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xiaodi YouYou – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Jessika PonchetPonchet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Xiyu WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Harriet DartDart (0-1) – H2H and prediction








