Ashlyn Krueger and Mai Hontama will square off in the semifinal of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on Center. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashlyn Krueger who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashlyn Krueger is the pick to win this match.
Ashlyn Krueger -> 1.59
Mai Hontama -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Ashlyn Krueger vs. Mai Hontama
There is no head to head record between Ashlyn Krueger and Mai Hontama since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Ashlyn Krueger
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-12 | 7-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-26 | 26-15 | 8-6 | 2-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 23-17 | 10-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-14 | 10-11 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 123, Krueger reached the semifinal after defeating Kateryna Baindl 6-2 6-3, Jessika Ponchet 6-4 6-1 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter, Ashlyn had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-3 6-1). During the match, Krueger scored 70 points vs Kalinskaya’s 51. The American was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Krueger scored 11 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ashlyn Krueger conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Krueger put 69% of her first serves in, winning 83% (29/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Ashlyn broke Kalinskaya 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Krueger hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points she played.
Krueger has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 59% of her matches (101-71). 21-12 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Krueger has an aggregate67-48 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Gaiba where she beat Tatjana Maria in the final 3-6 6-4 7-5.
Ashlyn has a compiled 38-22 win-loss record in 2023, 21-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
Krueger has never competed in this tournament before.
Mai Hontama
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 16-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-28 | 38-18 | 6-5 | 9-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-25 | 25-15 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 32-12 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176, Mai reached the semifinal after beating Su Jeong Jang 7-5 0-6 6-2, Nadia Podoroska 6-3 6-3 and Arianne Hartono 6-72 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter against Hartono, Hontama recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 6-1). During the match Hontama scored 103 points vs Hartono’s 88. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Hontama scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Mai Hontama lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Hontama put 65% of her first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Hartono 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hontama has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title the W40 Maribor where she defeated Clara Tauson in the final 6-4 3-6 6-4.
The Japanese has an overall 39-19 win-loss record in 2023, 26-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Krueger | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 74 |
| Pts | 208-148 | 249-211 |
| Total Points | 356 | 460 |
| Winners | 86 | 98 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Krueger and Hontama played 3 matches. At the moment, Mai Hontama surrendered 2 sets while Ashlyn Krueger hasn’t lost a set so far. Krueger has played 2 set(s) less than Hontama (6 vs 8). Therefore, Krueger played 24 games less than Hontama. Krueger scored 86 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Hontama struck 98 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Krueger | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 113/157 | 149/213 |
| %1st in | 72% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 86/113 | 98/149 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 33/64 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Krueger struck 13 aces (4.3 per match). Hontama managed to score 2 aces (0.7 per match). Krueger won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Hontama won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Krueger | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 16 |
| Converted | 12/34 | 16/31 |
| % Converted | 35% | 52% |
| Conceded | 7 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 7 |
| % Saved | 71% | 41% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 10 |
The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. Krueger lost her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Japanese broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 41% of the break points that she conceded.
| Krueger | |||||
| R1 Kozlova |
R2 Ponchet |
1/4 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 16 | 50 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 74-53 | 70-51 | 208-148 | |
| Total points | 108 | 127 | 121 | 356 | |
| Winners | 27 | 30 | 29 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/53 | 40/53 | 35/51 | 113/157 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 75% | 69% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 30/40 | 29/35 | 86/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 75% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 7/13 | 7/16 | 23/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 54% | 44% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/13 | 4/12 | 12/34 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 31% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Hontama | |||||
| R1 Jeong Jang |
R2 Podoroska |
1/4 Hartono |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 0-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-72 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 30 | 74 | |
| pts | 83-80 | 63-43 | 103-88 | 249-211 | |
| Total points | 163 | 106 | 191 | 460 | |
| Winners | 33 | 24 | 41 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 58/74 | 30/45 | 61/94 | 149/213 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 67% | 65% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 33/58 | 24/30 | 41/61 | 98/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 80% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 10/15 | 14/33 | 33/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 67% | 42% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/8 | 7/12 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 58% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/7 | 2/3 | 3/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 29% | 67% | 43% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWLL
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