Marc Polmans and Li Tu will fight against each other in the quarter of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marc Polmans who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marc Polmans is the pick to win this match.
Marc Polmans -> 1.52
Li Tu -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Marc Polmans vs. Li Tu
This will be the 2nd time that Marc Polmans and Li Tu square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Polmans (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Polmans won 6-7(3) 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in the Kobe Challenger back in 2022.
Marc Polmans
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-35 | 32-23 | 14-9 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-13 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-28 | 1-6 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-16 | 2-6 | 5-4 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 167, the Australian got to the quarter after defeating Arthur Weber 7-65 7-5 and Colin Sinclair 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Marc had a good straight sets win against Sinclair (6-4 6-4). During the match, Polmans scored 81 points vs Sinclair’s 70. Marc was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Polmans scored 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Marc Polmans was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Sinclair twice after converting 14% of his break points (2/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marc hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Polmans has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (290-228). 17-15 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Polmans has an aggregate 164-128 record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Canberra.
Marc has an overall 33-26 win-loss record in 2023, 17-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Marc has never competed in this tournament before.
Li Tu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-14 | 14-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, the Australian reached the quarter after defeating Nick Chappell 6-1 2-6 6-2 and Aoran Wang 6-74 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Wang, Tu recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-2 6-3). During the match Tu scored 109 points vs Wang’s 87. Li was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Tu scored 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Li Tu was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (42/53) of his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Li broke Wang 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Li has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Li’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
Li has a composed 26-21 win-loss record in 2023, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Polmans | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 53 |
| Pts | 155-138 | 190-151 |
| Total Points | 293 | 341 |
| Winners | 74 | 63 |
| %Winners | 48% | 33% |
Both Polmans and Tu played 2 matches. At the moment, Li Tu dropped 2 sets while Marc Polmans hasn’t conceded a set so far. Polmans has played 2 set(s) less than Tu (4 vs 6). Therefore, Polmans played 8 games less than Tu. Marc scored 74 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Li made 63 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Polmans | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 10 |
| 1st in | 94/138 | 84/158 |
| %1st in | 68% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 74/94 | 63/84 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 49/74 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 66% |
Polmans struck 24 aces (12 per match). Tu managed to score 20 aces (10 per match). Polmans won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Polmans | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/18 | 8/26 |
| % Converted | 28% | 31% |
| Conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Saved | 2 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Polmans broke his opponents 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. Polmans lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Li broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Polmans | ||||
| R1 Weber |
R2 Sinclair |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 20 | 45 | |
| pts | 74-68 | 81-70 | 155-138 | |
| Total points | 142 | 151 | 293 | |
| Winners | 39 | 35 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 43% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 14 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 47/71 | 47/67 | 94/138 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 70% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 39/47 | 35/47 | 74/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 74% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 11/20 | 20/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 55% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 2/14 | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 14% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tu | ||||
| R1 Chappell |
R2 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 2-6 6-2 | 6-74 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 30 | 53 | |
| pts | 81-64 | 109-87 | 190-151 | |
| Total points | 145 | 196 | 341 | |
| Winners | 21 | 42 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 39% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 15 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/72 | 53/86 | 84/158 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 62% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 42/53 | 63/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/41 | 22/33 | 49/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/14 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 29% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 5/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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