Federico Coria and Lucas Gerch will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Szczecin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:30 pm on COURT BOHDAN TOMASZEWSKI. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.46
Lucas Gerch -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Lucas Gerch
There is no head to head record between Federico Coria and Lucas Gerch since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-18 | 0-1 | 23-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 96, the Argentine got to the 2nd round after defeating Henri Squire 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Argentine defeated Squire (6-4 2-6 6-4). During the match, Coria scored 84 points vs Squire’s 73. Coria was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Coria bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 70% of his first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Squire 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Coria has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (446-279). 22-14 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Coria has an overall 430-234 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated Timofey Skatov in the final 6-4 6-3.
Coria has an aggregate 25-23 win-loss record in 2023, 22-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-16 | 0-2 | 24-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-18 | 14-9 | 7-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 345, the German reached the 2nd round after defeating Federico Delbonis 4-6 5-2 ret., Miljan Zekic 6-4 6-4 and Andrew Paulson 7-63 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Gerch defeated Paulson (7-63 4-6 6-4). During the match Gerch scored 97 points vs Paulson’s 92. Gerch was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Gerch recorded 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Lucas Gerch was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The German broke Paulson 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Lucas’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Krsko,M15 Frankfurt am Main and M25 Oldenzaal.
Lucas has an overall 30-17 win-loss record in 2023, 27-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Gerch has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 70 |
| Pts | 84-73 | 228-202 |
| Total Points | 157 | 430 |
| Winners | 35 | 93 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Coria played 1 match while Gerch competed in 3 matches. Gerch started his run from the qualifications while Coria had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Coria dropped 1 set, while Lucas Gerch conceded 2 sets. Coria has played 5 set(s) less than Gerch (3 vs 8). Therefore, Coria played 42 games less than Gerch. Coria scored 35 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Gerch blasted 93 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 52/74 | 127/205 |
| %1st in | 70% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 35/52 | 93/127 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 48/78 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 62% |
Coria blasted 2 aces . Gerch blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Coria won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Gerch won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 8/24 |
| % Converted | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Coria broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Coria dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Gerch broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Gerch conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | |||
| R1 Squire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 84-73 | 84-73 | |
| Total points | 157 | 157 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 52/74 | 52/74 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 35/52 | 35/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Gerch | |||||
| Q1 Delbonis |
Q3 Zekic |
R1 Paulson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 5-2 ret. | 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 33 | 70 | |
| pts | 68-61 | 63-49 | 97-92 | 228-202 | |
| Total points | 129 | 112 | 189 | 430 | |
| Winners | 24 | 28 | 41 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 44% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 0 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 35/54 | 55/93 | 127/205 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 28/35 | 41/55 | 93/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 80% | 75% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 12/19 | 23/38 | 48/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 63% | 61% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 3/7 | 3/8 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 43% | 38% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/3 | 3/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 50% | 167% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLWLL
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Szczecin Challenger
- Pedro CachinCachin – Jozef KovalikKovalik (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (5-7 7-5 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian AndreevAndreev – Hugo GastonGaston (2-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Lucas GerchGerch (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Adrian AndreevAndreev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
