Illya Marchenko and Toby Samuel will face off in the 2nd round of the Cary 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Toby Samuel who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Toby Samuel is the pick to win this match.
Toby Samuel -> 1.82
Illya Marchenko -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Illya Marchenko vs. Toby Samuel
There is no head to head record between Illya Marchenko and Toby Samuel since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 273, Marchenko reached the 2nd round after beating Enzo Couacaud 6-4 7-62.
In the 1st round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Couacaud (6-4 7-62). During the match, Marchenko scored 71 points vs Couacaud’s 63. Marchenko was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Marchenko made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Illya Marchenko was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (27/32) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Illya broke Couacaud 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Marchenko has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (288-220). 17-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Marchenko has a composed 117-89 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Salinas Challenger where he overcame Matija Pecotic in the final 6-4 6-4.
Illya has an aggregate 29-15 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary 2 Challenger
Marchenko has never competed in this tournament before.
Toby Samuel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-14 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-5 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 472 (career-high), the Brit reached the 2nd round after beating Brayden Schnur 6-3 6-75 6-3.
In the 1st round, Toby defeated Schnur (6-3 6-75 6-3). During the match Samuel scored 102 points vs Schnur’s 87. Toby was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Samuel recorded 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Toby Samuel lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Samuel put 63% of his first serves in, winning 78% (50/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Schnur 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
The Brit’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Nottingham and M25 Aldershot.
Samuel has an aggregate 16-8 win-loss record in 2023, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marchenko | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 31 |
| Pts | 71-63 | 102-87 |
| Total Points | 134 | 189 |
| Winners | 27 | 50 |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% |
Both Marchenko and Samuel played 1 match. At the moment, Toby Samuel surrendered 1 set while Illya Marchenko hasn’t lost a set so far. Marchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Samuel (2 vs 3). Therefore, Marchenko played 8 games less than Samuel. Illya scored 27 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Toby made 50 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marchenko | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 9 |
| 1st in | 32/68 | 64/102 |
| %1st in | 47% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 50/64 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 19/38 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 50% |
Marchenko fired 6 aces . Samuel bagged 9 aces . Marchenko won 84% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Samuel won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marchenko | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 43% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 33% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Marchenko broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Ukrainian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Samuel conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Marchenko | |||
| R1 Couacaud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 71-63 | 71-63 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/68 | 32/68 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 27/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 19/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Samuel | |||
| R1 Schnur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-75 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 102-87 | 102-87 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 64/102 | 64/102 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 50/64 | 50/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | 19/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLLLL
L Tennis Scores in Cary 2 Challenger
- Toby SamuelSamuel – Brayden SchnurSchnur (6-3 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Christian HarrisonHarrison – Aidan MayoMayo (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
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