Lucas Gerch and Andrew Paulson will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Szczecin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrew Paulson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrew Paulson is the pick to win this match.
Andrew Paulson -> 1.87
Lucas Gerch -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Andrew Paulson
There is no head to head record between Lucas Gerch and Andrew Paulson since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-18 | 14-9 | 7-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 345, Lucas reached the 1st round after beating Federico Delbonis 4-6 5-2 ret. and Miljan Zekic 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Gerch had a good straight sets win against Zekic (6-4 6-4). During the match, Gerch scored 63 points vs Zekic’s 49. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gerch couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Lucas Gerch was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Zekic 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Gerch has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (228-143). 26-13 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gerch has a composed148-84 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Lucas’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Krsko,M15 Frankfurt am Main and M25 Oldenzaal.
The German has a composed 29-17 win-loss record in 2023, 26-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Gerch has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrew Paulson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 1-3 | 31-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 6-3 | 30-15 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 47-26 | 19-8 | 11-11 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 350, Andrew got to the 1st round after beating Marvin Moeller 6-2 6-2 and Steven Diez 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Diez (6-3 6-1). During the match Paulson scored 58 points vs Diez’s 32. Paulson was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about serving, Paulson struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrew Paulson was quite effective on serve to win 81% (17/21) of his 1st serve and 80% (16/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paulson broke Diez 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paulson started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points he played.
The Czech’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Poprad,M25+H Kassel and M25 Lodz.
Andrew has an aggregate 24-14 win-loss record in 2023, 23-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerch | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 32 |
| Pts | 131-110 | 123-77 |
| Total Points | 241 | 200 |
| Winners | 52 | 39 |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% |
Both Gerch and Paulson played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lucas Gerch dropped 1 set while Andrew Paulson hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gerch has played 1 set more than Paulson (5 vs 4). Therefore, Gerch played 5 games more than Paulson. The German scored 52 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Andrew bagged 39 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerch | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 72/112 | 49/90 |
| %1st in | 64% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 52/72 | 39/49 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 29/41 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 71% |
Gerch struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Paulson scored 10 aces (5 per match). Gerch won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Paulson won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerch | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 31% | 57% |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 57% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Lucas broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Gerch surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Czech broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Paulson was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Gerch | ||||
| Q1 Delbonis |
Q3 Zekic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 5-2 ret. | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 37 | |
| pts | 68-61 | 63-49 | 131-110 | |
| Total points | 129 | 112 | 241 | |
| Winners | 24 | 28 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 0 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 35/54 | 72/112 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 28/35 | 52/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 80% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 12/19 | 25/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 3/7 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 43% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Paulson | ||||
| Q1 Moeller |
Q3 Diez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 32 | |
| pts | 65-45 | 58-32 | 123-77 | |
| Total points | 110 | 90 | 200 | |
| Winners | 22 | 17 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 29% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 21/41 | 49/90 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 51% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 17/21 | 39/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 16/20 | 29/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 80% | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/5 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 80% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWLWW
LWWLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Szczecin Challenger
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-2 4-6 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian AndreevAndreev – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-1 6-74 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro CachinCachin – Daniel RinconRincon (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Henri SquireSquire (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelle SelsSels – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – Andrew PaulsonPaulson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Hugo GastonGaston (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petr NouzaNouza – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
