Strong Kirchheimer and Alex Rybakov will face off in the qualifications of the Cary 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Rybakov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Rybakov is the pick to win this match.
Alex Rybakov -> 1.69
Strong Kirchheimer -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Strong Kirchheimer vs. Alex Rybakov
This will be the 2nd time that Strong Kirchheimer and Alex Rybakov fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakov won 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the qualifications in the Lexington Challenger back in 2018.
Strong Kirchheimer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-16 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 19-16 | 2-4 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-30 | 17-12 | 7-11 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-21 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 433, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Connor Thomson 7-63 6-3.
In the qualifications, Strong had a good straight sets win against Thomson (7-63 6-3). During the match, Kirchheimer scored 88 points vs Thomson’s 68. Strong was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kirchheimer made 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Strong Kirchheimer was very efficient on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Thomson 3 times after converting 19% of his break points (3/16).
Kirchheimer has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (224-174). 12-12 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kirchheimer has a compiled114-95 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Strong’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Montreal and M15 South Bend.
Strong has a compiled 25-21 win-loss record in 2023, 12-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary 2 Challenger
Alex Rybakov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 4-4 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-5 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 602, Rybakov reached the qualifications after beating Colin Markes 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Markes (6-3 6-1). During the match Rybakov scored 63 points vs Markes’s 41. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Rybakov was quite effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Markes 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Marburg.
Alex has an aggregate 15-19 win-loss record in 2023, 5-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kirchheimer | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 |
| Pts | 88-68 | 63-41 |
| Total Points | 156 | 104 |
| Winners | 31 | 26 |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% |
Both Kirchheimer and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kirchheimer and Rybakov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kirchheimer played 6 games more than Rybakov. Kirchheimer scored 31 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Alex scored 26 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kirchheimer | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 40/61 | 34/54 |
| %1st in | 66% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 26/34 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 11/20 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 55% |
Kirchheimer managed to score 4 aces . Rybakov managed to score 2 aces . Kirchheimer won 78% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kirchheimer | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/16 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 19% | 57% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Kirchheimer broke his opponent 3 times with a 19% conversion rate. Strong lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rybakov broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Rybakov was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Kirchheimer | |||
| Q1 Thomson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 88-68 | 88-68 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/61 | 40/61 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 31/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/16 | 3/16 | |
| Converted % | 19% | 19% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Markes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 63-41 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 34/54 | 34/54 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 26/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWLW
LLWLLWLLWL 
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