Luca Castelnuovo and Ray Ho will play each other in the qualifications of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CENTRAL COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Castelnuovo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Castelnuovo is the pick to win this match.
Luca Castelnuovo -> 1.7
Ray Ho -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Luca Castelnuovo vs. Ray Ho
This will be the 3rd time that Luca Castelnuovo and Ray Ho face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Castelnuovo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Castelnuovo won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in M25 Baotou back in August 2023.
Luca Castelnuovo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-23 | 22-15 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 9-16 | 8-7 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| 2021 | 21-30 | 9-10 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
Ranked no. 668, Castelnuovo got to the qualifications after defeating Zhenxiong Dong 6-2 7-5.
In the qualifications, Castelnuovo had a good straight sets win against Dong (6-2 7-5). During the match, Castelnuovo scored 62 points vs Dong’s 43. Castelnuovo was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Castelnuovo blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Luca Castelnuovo was quite efficient on serve to win 90% (27/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luca broke Dong 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Castelnuovo has won exactly 50% of his matches (163-161) in the last 8 years. 16-10 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Castelnuovo has an overall84-85 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Castelnuovo’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Shanghai.
Castelnuovo has an aggregate 30-17 win-loss record in 2023, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Luca has never competed in this tournament before.
Ray Ho
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-8 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-27 | 30-26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-29 | 20-22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 14-8 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 836, Ray got to the qualifications after defeating Linghao Zhang 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-1 6-0). During the match Ho scored 52 points vs Zhang’s 18. Ray was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Ho fired 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ray Ho was exceptionally effective on serve to win 91% (21/23) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Zhang 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Ho’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Monastir.
Ho has a composed 28-23 win-loss record in 2023, 28-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Castelnuovo | Ho |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 13 |
| Pts | 62-43 | 52-18 |
| Total Points | 105 | 70 |
| Winners | 27 | 21 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Castelnuovo and Ho played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Castelnuovo and Ho have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Castelnuovo played 7 games more than Ho. Castelnuovo scored 27 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Ray recorded 21 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Castelnuovo | Ho |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 10 |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 23/36 |
| %1st in | 67% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 21/23 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 8/13 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 62% |
Castelnuovo scored 11 aces . Ho made 10 aces . Castelnuovo won 90% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Ho won 91% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Castelnuovo | Ho |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 57% | 63% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Castelnuovo broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Castelnuovo conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ho broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Ray was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Castelnuovo | |||
| Q1 Dong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 62-43 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 27/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ho | |||
| Q1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 52-18 | 52-18 | |
| Total points | 70 | 70 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 23/36 | 23/36 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 21/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWLWL
LLLLLWWWWL 
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