Qian Sun and Toshihide Matsui will play each other in the qualifications of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qian Sun who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qian Sun is the pick to win this match.
Qian Sun -> 1.4
Toshihide Matsui -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Qian Sun vs. Toshihide Matsui
There is no head to head record between Qian Sun and Toshihide Matsui since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Qian Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-9 | 8-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 8-18 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 34-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Chinese got to the qualifications after defeating Jie Cui 3-6 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications against Cui, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Sun scored 78 points vs Cui’s 64. Sun was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sun made 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Qian Sun lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Cui 7 times after converting 88% of his break points (7/8).
Sun has a winning record in the last 2 years having won 53% of his matches (39-34). 5-11 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sun has a compiled39-33 match record in the last 2 years on hard.
The Chinese has an aggregate 5-12 win-loss record in 2023, 5-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Qian has never competed in this tournament before.
Toshihide Matsui
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Matsui reached the qualifications after beating Jiayang Dong 7-5 6-0.
In the qualifications, Toshihide had a good straight sets win against Dong (7-5 6-0). During the match Matsui scored 73 points vs Dong’s 49. Toshihide was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Matsui bagged 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Toshihide Matsui was very efficient on serve to win 84% (27/32) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Toshihide broke Dong 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Toshihide has a composed 1-3 win-loss record in 2023, 1-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sun | Matsui |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 |
| Pts | 78-64 | 73-49 |
| Total Points | 142 | 122 |
| Winners | 30 | 27 |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% |
Both Sun and Matsui played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Qian Sun conceded 1 set while Toshihide Matsui hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sun has played 1 set more than Matsui (3 vs 2). Therefore, Sun played 7 games more than Matsui. Sun scored 30 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Toshihide recorded 27 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sun | Matsui |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 32/56 |
| %1st in | 61% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 30/44 | 27/32 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 54% |
Sun struck 4 aces . Matsui scored 4 aces . Sun won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Matsui won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sun | Matsui |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/8 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 88% | 36% |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 20% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Qian broke his opponent 7 times with a 88% conversion rate. Qian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. Toshihide broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Toshihide was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Sun | |||
| Q1 Cui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 78-64 | 78-64 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 44/72 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 30/44 | 30/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 13/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/8 | 7/8 | |
| Converted % | 88% | 88% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Matsui | |||
| Q1 Dong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 73-49 | 73-49 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/56 | 32/56 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 27/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLLW
LLL 
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