Tomas Machac and Mattia Bellucci will fight against each other in the final of the Cassis Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL CABESTO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.48
Mattia Bellucci -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Mattia Bellucci
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 121, Machac got to the final after defeating Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 6-2 6-4, Nicolas Mejia 6-4 6-4, Alejandro Moro Canas 7-65 6-1 and Alexandre Muller 3-6 6-3 7-68.
In the semifinal against Muller, The Czech recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-68).During the match, Machac scored less points (1) than Muller. In fact, the world no. 121 won 102 points vs Muller’s. That means that Machac was more focused during the important points. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Machac blasted 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (53/75) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Czech broke Muller twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Machac has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Machac has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (202-102). 15-9 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Machac has a composed50-21 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Czech’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Prostejov Challenger.
The Czech has an overall 34-22 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cassis Challenger
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 182, Mattia reached the final after defeating Ramkumar Ramanathan 6-2 6-4, Maximilian Neuchrist 6-2 6-3, Lucas Poullain 1-6 6-3 6-0 and Liam Broady 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Broady (6-3 6-4). During the match Bellucci scored 60 points vs Broady’s 52. Mattia was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Bellucci bagged 14 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. Mattia broke Broady 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mattia has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Bellucci’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Cassis Challenger.
Mattia has an overall 21-27 win-loss record in 2023, 14-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cassis Challenger
Mattia has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Machac | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 89 | 76 |
| Pts | 324-273 | 251-195 |
| Total Points | 597 | 446 |
| Winners | 130 | 110 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Machac and Bellucci played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Machac lost 1 set, while Mattia Bellucci dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Machac and Bellucci have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Machac played 13 games more than Bellucci. Tomas scored 130 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Mattia made 110 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Machac | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 173/276 | 146/230 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 130/173 | 110/146 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 62/103 | 44/84 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 52% |
Machac made 18 aces (4.5 per match). Bellucci scored 33 aces (8.3 per match). Machac won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Machac | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 16 |
| Converted | 12/44 | 16/24 |
| % Converted | 27% | 67% |
| Conceded | 19 | 12 |
| Saved | 14 | 7 |
| % Saved | 74% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
The Czech broke his opponents 12 times with a 27% conversion rate. Tomas lost his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Bellucci broke his opponents 16 times with a 67% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Machac | ||||||
| R1 Gueymard |
R2 Mejia |
1/4 Moro |
1/2 Muller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 20 | 31 | 89 | |
| pts | 71-48 | 86-71 | 65-51 | 102-103 | 324-273 | |
| Total points | 119 | 157 | 116 | 205 | 597 | |
| Winners | 24 | 23 | 30 | 53 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 27% | 46% | 52% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 31/62 | 39/58 | 75/108 | 173/276 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 50% | 67% | 69% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 23/31 | 30/39 | 53/75 | 130/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 74% | 77% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 17/31 | 13/19 | 18/33 | 62/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 68% | 55% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/15 | 3/7 | 2/10 | 12/44 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 27% | 43% | 20% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 6/8 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 67% | 75% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Bellucci | ||||||
| R1 Ramanathan |
R2 Neuchrist |
1/4 Poullain |
1/2 Broady |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 76 | |
| pts | 56-40 | 59-36 | 76-67 | 60-52 | 251-195 | |
| Total points | 96 | 95 | 143 | 112 | 446 | |
| Winners | 23 | 26 | 30 | 31 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 39% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 30/39 | 46/76 | 42/66 | 146/230 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 77% | 61% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 26/30 | 30/46 | 31/42 | 110/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 87% | 65% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 6/9 | 14/30 | 9/24 | 44/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 67% | 47% | 38% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/6 | 5/10 | 4/5 | 16/24 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 50% | 80% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 63% | 33% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWL
LWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tomas MachacMachac – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
