Christopher O Connell and Yan Bai will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Christopher O Connell who should win in 2 sets.
Christopher O Connell -> 1.21
Yan Bai -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Christopher O Connell vs. Yan Bai
There is no head to head record between Christopher O Connell and Yan Bai since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Christopher O Connell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-28 | 19-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-26 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-34 | 19-18 | 11-9 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 30-16 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-16 | 14-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, O Connell got to the quarter after beating Luke Saville 6-4 6-0 and Yasutaka Uchiyama 7-63 4-1 ret..
In the 2nd round against Uchiyama, the Australian had a free pass after Uchiyama retired on a 7-63 4-1 . scoreline.
O Connell has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (346-204). 12-14 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, O Connell has an aggregate 147-98 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
O Connell’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Split Challenger and Munich.
O Connell has an overall 27-27 win-loss record in 2023, 12-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shanghai Challenger
Christopher has never competed in this tournament before.
Yan Bai
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-8 | 9-1 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-21 | 47-19 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-16 | 42-13 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 679, Yan reached the quarter after beating Yusuke Takahashi 6-2 6-4, Alexey Zakharov 6-3 6-3, Tao Mu 6-3 4-6 7-5 and Dominik Palan 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Bai had a good straight sets win against Palan (6-3 6-2). During the match Bai scored 60 points vs Palan’s 53. The Chinese was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Bai scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yan Bai conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Bai put 71% of his first serves in, winning 74% (34/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Yan broke Palan 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Chinese’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Tianjin.
Bai has a compiled 33-8 win-loss record in 2023, 31-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | O Connell | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 84 |
| Pts | 114-75 | 306-256 |
| Total Points | 189 | 562 |
| Winners | 49 | 139 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
O Connell played 2 matches while Bai competed in 4 matches. Bai started his run from the qualifications while O Connell had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yan Bai surrendered 1 set while Christopher O Connell hasn’t lost a set so far. O Connell has played 4 set(s) less than Bai (5 vs 9). Therefore, O Connell played 50 games less than Bai. O Connell scored 49 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese fired 139 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | O Connell | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 55/84 | 197/265 |
| %1st in | 65% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 49/55 | 139/197 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 35/68 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 51% |
O Connell scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Bai fired 6 aces (1.5 per match). O Connell won 89% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Bai won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | O Connell | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 16 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 16/33 |
| % Converted | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded | 0 | 16 |
| Saved | 0 | 11 |
| % Saved | 0% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Christopher broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Australian very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Yan broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| O Connell | ||||
| R1 Saville | R2 Uchiyama | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 7-63 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 34 | |
| pts | 55-34 | 59-41 | 114-75 | |
| Total points | 89 | 100 | 189 | |
| Winners | 23 | 26 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 25/41 | 30/43 | 55/84 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 26/30 | 49/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 87% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/13 | 18/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 69% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/4 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bai | ||||||
| Q1 Takahashi | Q3 Zakharov | R1 Mu | R2 Palan | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 31 | 17 | 84 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 65-42 | 110-107 | 60-53 | 306-256 | |
| Total points | 125 | 107 | 217 | 113 | 562 | |
| Winners | 31 | 23 | 51 | 34 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% | 46% | 57% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/51 | 28/43 | 86/106 | 46/65 | 197/265 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 65% | 81% | 71% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 23/28 | 51/86 | 34/46 | 139/197 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 59% | 74% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 11/15 | 10/20 | 8/19 | 35/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 73% | 50% | 42% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/9 | 6/10 | 3/7 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 44% | 60% | 43% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 7/11 | 2/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 64% | 100% | 157% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Antoine BellierBellier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Yan BaiBai (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nam Hoang LyHoang Ly – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction