Mattia Bellucci and Lucas Poullain will face off in the quarter of the Cassis Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTRAL CABESTO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 2 sets.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.39
Lucas Poullain -> 2.88
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Lucas Poullain
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Lucas Poullain since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-31 | 10-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 182, Mattia got to the quarter after defeating Ramkumar Ramanathan 6-2 6-4 and Maximilian Neuchrist 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Neuchrist (6-2 6-3). During the match, Bellucci scored 59 points vs Neuchrist’s 36. Mattia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci recorded 7 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Mattia Bellucci was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mattia broke Neuchrist 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (170-94). 12-15 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bellucci has a compiled92-40 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Bellucci has an overall 19-27 win-loss record in 2023, 12-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cassis Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Lucas Poullain
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-31 | 18-14 | 7-3 | 19-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-24 | 21-13 | 6-3 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 63-26 | 29-11 | 8-2 | 26-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-10 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 14-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 318, the French player got to the quarter after defeating Benjamin Bonzi 6-3 6-1 and Charles Broom 7-65 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Poullain had a good straight sets win against Broom (7-65 6-4). During the match Poullain scored 88 points vs Broom’s 82. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Poullain scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lucas Poullain lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Poullain put 54% of his first serves in, winning 65% (31/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (22/41) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Broom 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lucas hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Lucas’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Bressuire,M25 Faro,M25 Loule,M25 Nottingham,M25 Carnac,M25 Bakio and M25+H Ajaccio.
Poullain has an overall 51-17 win-loss record in 2023, 27-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 39 |
| Pts | 115-76 | 152-124 |
| Total Points | 191 | 276 |
| Winners | 49 | 53 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Bellucci and Poullain played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Poullain have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Bellucci played 4 games less than Poullain. The Italian scored 49 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Poullain struck 53 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 58/88 | 81/140 |
| %1st in | 66% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 49/58 | 53/81 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 21/30 | 35/59 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 59% |
Bellucci bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Poullain made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Bellucci won 84% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Poullain won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 9 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 78% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Italian quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. Poullain broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||
| R1 Ramanathan | R2 Neuchrist | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 35 | |
| pts | 56-40 | 59-36 | 115-76 | |
| Total points | 96 | 95 | 191 | |
| Winners | 23 | 26 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 30/39 | 58/88 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 77% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 26/30 | 49/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 87% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 6/9 | 21/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 67% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/6 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poullain | ||||
| R1 Bonzi | R2 Broom | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 39 | |
| pts | 64-42 | 88-82 | 152-124 | |
| Total points | 106 | 170 | 276 | |
| Winners | 22 | 31 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 48/89 | 81/140 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 22/33 | 31/48 | 53/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 22/41 | 35/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 54% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/7 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Billy HarrisHarris – Liam BroadyBroady (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-0) – H2H and prediction