Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev will square off in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.3
Daniil Medvedev -> 3.54
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in at the Wimbledon back in July 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev – Wimbledon 14-July-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-5 | 13-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Carlos got to the semifinal after beating Dominik Koepfer 6-2 3-2 ret., Lloyd Harris 6-3 6-1 7-64, Daniel Evans 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3, Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-3 6-4 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 6-2 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 98 points vs Zverev’s 76. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (42/55) of his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Zverev 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (226-57). 21-3 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a compiled70-17 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he overcame Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
Carlos has a compiled 58-6 win-loss record in 2023, 21-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-6 | 18-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Attila Balazs 6-1 6-1 6-0, Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-2 6-76 6-2, Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-2 7-66, Alex De Minaur 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-4 6-3 6-4). During the match Medvedev scored 103 points vs Rublev’s 95. Medvedev was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev made 8 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 55% of his first serves in, winning 75% (41/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 29% (13/45) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Rublev 9 times after converting 47% of his break points (9/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Daniil has an aggregate 54-11 win-loss record in 2023, 32-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 16 | 17 |
| Tot Games | 133 | 148 |
| Pts | 484-376 | 543-418 |
| Total Points | 860 | 961 |
| Winners | 190 | 227 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Alcaraz and Medvedev played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Daniil Medvedev surrendered 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Medvedev (16 vs 17). Therefore, Alcaraz played 15 games less than Medvedev. Alcaraz scored 190 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 227 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 51 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 10.2 |
| 1st in | 255/414 | 291/487 |
| %1st in | 62% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 190/255 | 227/291 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 100/159 | 83/196 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 42% |
Alcaraz blasted 19 aces (3.8 per match). Medvedev blasted 51 aces (10.2 per match). Alcaraz won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 36 |
| Converted | 23/54 | 36/72 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 25 | 36 |
| Saved | 21 | 25 |
| % Saved | 84% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 11 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 23 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 36 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| R1 Koepfer |
R2 Lloyd |
R3 Evans |
R4 Arnaldi |
1/4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-2 ret. | 6-3 6-1 7-64 | 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 29 | 36 | 28 | 27 | 133 | |
| pts | 53-35 | 109-87 | 132-106 | 92-72 | 98-76 | 484-376 | |
| Total points | 88 | 196 | 238 | 164 | 174 | 860 | |
| Winners | 20 | 46 | 44 | 38 | 42 | 190 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 33% | 41% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 24/33 | 67/104 | 60/106 | 49/74 | 55/97 | 255/414 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 64% | 57% | 66% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 46/67 | 44/60 | 38/49 | 42/55 | 190/255 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 69% | 73% | 78% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/9 | 23/37 | 32/46 | 15/25 | 24/42 | 100/159 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 62% | 70% | 60% | 57% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/10 | 6/17 | 5/12 | 4/4 | 23/54 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 50% | 35% | 42% | 100% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 9/10 | 5/7 | 0/1 | 5/5 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 90% | 71% | 0% | 100% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Medvedev | |||||||
| R1 Balazs |
R2 O |
R3 Baez |
R4 De Minaur |
1/4 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 6-76 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 7-66 | 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 37 | 29 | 33 | 29 | 148 | |
| pts | 81-36 | 136-105 | 115-91 | 108-91 | 103-95 | 543-418 | |
| Total points | 117 | 241 | 206 | 199 | 198 | 961 | |
| Winners | 31 | 48 | 53 | 54 | 41 | 227 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% | 46% | 50% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 51 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 35 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 59/109 | 74/120 | 67/104 | 55/100 | 291/487 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 54% | 62% | 64% | 55% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 48/59 | 53/74 | 54/67 | 41/55 | 227/291 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 81% | 72% | 81% | 75% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 27/50 | 19/46 | 15/37 | 13/45 | 83/196 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 41% | 41% | 29% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 36 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 8/20 | 6/9 | 5/10 | 9/19 | 36/72 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 47% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 10/12 | 4/6 | 8/13 | 25 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 83% | 67% | 62% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
LWWWLWLWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (7-5 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Pierre-Hugues Herbert/Nicolas MahutHerbert/Nicolas Mahut (7-63 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
