Roberto Carballes Baena and Elias Ymer will play each other in the quarter of the Seville Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.29
Elias Ymer -> 3.44

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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Elias Ymer

This will be the 6th time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Elias Ymer square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Ymer won 6-2 6-3 in the final in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2017.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Roberto Carballes Baena

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
64
High
49
LWLWLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-17 4-5 11-11 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 25-29 3-8 19-14 1-4 2-3 0-0
2022 46-33 3-8 41-23 2-1 0-1 0-0
2021 41-30 3-5 33-20 3-3 2-2 0-0
2020 19-18 3-4 16-12 0-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 63, Roberto got to the quarter after beating Inigo Cervantes 6-2 6-1 and Carlos Lopez Montagud 6-2 6-1

.

In the 2nd round, Roberto had a good straight sets win against Lopez Montagud (6-2 6-1). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 63 points vs Lopez Montagud’s 40. Roberto was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena was quite effective on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Roberto broke Lopez Montagud 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Roberto hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points he played.

Carballes Baena has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (393-295). 16-13 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Carballes Baena has a compiled 350-225 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Alexandre Muller in the final 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2.

Roberto has a compiled 21-22 win-loss record in 2023, 16-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seville Challenger

Seville Challenger
Carballes Baena's Record

Elias Ymer

Elias Ymer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
205
High
105
WWWLLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 11-17 1-7 6-8 1-2 3-0 0-0
2023 42-41 10-13 24-17 7-10 1-1 0-0
2022 39-32 12-11 20-15 5-4 2-2 0-0
2021 35-29 9-9 20-11 6-8 0-1 0-0
2020 10-12 1-4 8-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 170, Ymer got to the quarter after defeating Manuel Guinard 6-73 7-5 2-0 ret. and Pedro Martinez Portero 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Elias had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (7-5 6-3). During the match Ymer scored 66 points vs Martinez Portero’s 51. Elias was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Ymer made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Elias Ymer was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Ymer broke Martinez Portero 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Ymer’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.

Elias has an aggregate 31-26 win-loss record in 2023, 19-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seville Challenger

Ymer has never competed in this tournament before.

Seville Challenger
Ymer's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Carballes Baena
E.Ymer
2h:39
2h:39
Time on court​
!
4h:03
4h:03
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
1h:36
1h:36
2
2
Match played
2
2
30
30
Games Played​
48
48
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
125
125
Total points​
163
163
62.5
62.5
Avg point​
81.5
81.5
40
40
Winners
57
57
20
20
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
32%
32%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
5
5
0.5
0.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
2
2
Double Faults
4
4
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
40/52
40/52
1st won total​
57/88
57/88
!
77%
77%
1st won %
65%
65%
21/30
21/30
2nd won total​
32/59
32/59
!
70%
70%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
10/22
10/22
BP won
11/24
11/24
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
5.5/12
5.5/12
45%
45%
Won
46%
46%
3
3
Conceded
12
12
1.5
1.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
0
0
Broken
7
7
!
0
0
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
3
3
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carballes Baena Ymer
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 30 48
Pts 125-80 163-139
Total Points 205 302
Winners 40 57
%Winners 32% 35%

Both Carballes Baena and Ymer played 2 matches. At the moment, Elias Ymer dropped 1 set while Roberto Carballes Baena hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 2 set(s) less than Ymer (4 vs 6). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 18 games less than Ymer. The Spaniard scored 40 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer fired 57 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carballes Baena Ymer
Aces 1 5
Avg per match 0.5 2.5
1st in 52/82 88/147
%1st in 63% 60%
1st pts 40/52 57/88
%1st pts 77% 65%
2nd pts 21/30 32/59
%2nd pts 70% 54%

Carballes Baena made 1 ace (0.5 per match). Ymer also made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Carballes Baena won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carballes Baena Ymer
Won 10 11
Converted 10/22 11/24
% Converted 45% 46%
Conceded 3 12
Saved 3 5
% Saved 100% 42%
Times Broken 0 7

The Spaniard broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Roberto quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Swede broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded.

Carballes Baena
R1
Cervantes
R2
Lopez Montagud
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 15 30
pts 62-40 63-40 125-80
Total points 102 103 205
Winners 18 22 40
%Winners 29% 35% 32%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 26/46 26/36 52/82
% 1st in 57% 72% 63%
1st pts 18/26 22/26 40/52
% 1st pts 69% 85% 77%
2nd pts 14/20 7/10 21/30
% 2nd pts 70% 70% 70%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/9 5/13 10/22
Converted % 56% 38% 45%
Conceded 1 2 3
Saved 1/1 2/2 3
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Ymer
R1
Guinard
R2
Martinez Portero
Total
Score 6-73 7-5 2-0 ret. 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 27 21 48
pts 97-88 66-51 163-139
Total points 185 117 302
Winners 30 27 57
%Winners 31% 41% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 53/85 35/62 88/147
% 1st in 62% 56% 60%
1st pts 30/53 27/35 57/88
% 1st pts 57% 77% 65%
2nd pts 17/32 15/27 32/59
% 2nd pts 53% 56% 54%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/18 4/6 11/24
Converted % 39% 67% 46%
Conceded 7 5 12
Saved 2/7 3/5 5
Saved % 29% 60% 45%
Times Broken 5 2 7

Tennis Scores in Seville Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw