Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.31
Qinwen Zheng -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-12 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna reached the quarter after defeating Maryna Zanevska 6-3 6-2, Jodie Anna Burrage 6-3 6-2, Clara Burel 6-1 6-1 and Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-3.
In the 4th round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 66 points vs Kasatkina’s 42. Aryna was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 70% (16/23) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Kasatkina 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (311-150). 28-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed182-81 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Sabalenka has a compiled 48-10 win-loss record in 2023, 28-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-16 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 38-8 | 3-3 | 26-3 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Qinwen reached the quarter after beating Nadia Podoroska 6-1 6-0, Kaia Kanepi 6-2 3-6 6-2, Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Ons Jabeur 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-2 6-4). During the match Zheng scored 66 points vs Jabeur’s 47. Qinwen was extremely aggressive to blast 13 winners.
About the serving games, Zheng blasted 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 40% of her first serves in, winning 68% (13/19) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Jabeur 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Palermo where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-4 1-6 6-1.
The Chinese has an aggregate 29-16 win-loss record in 2023, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 85 |
| Pts | 250-163 | 310-245 |
| Total Points | 413 | 555 |
| Winners | 96 | 84 |
| %Winners | 38% | 27% |
Both Sabalenka and Zheng played 4 matches. At the moment, Qinwen Zheng conceded 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Zheng (8 vs 10). Therefore, Sabalenka played 21 games less than Zheng. The Belarussian scored 96 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese recorded 84 winners (27%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 125/203 | 125/256 |
| %1st in | 62% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 96/125 | 84/125 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 36/78 | 72/131 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 55% |
Sabalenka struck 17 aces (4.3 per match). Zheng scored 24 aces (6 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 24 |
| Converted | 21/32 | 24/44 |
| % Converted | 66% | 55% |
| Conceded | 12 | 27 |
| Saved | 6 | 16 |
| % Saved | 50% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 11 |
Aryna broke her opponents 21 times with a 66% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Qinwen broke her opponents 24 times with a 55% conversion rate. Zheng conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||||
| R1 Zanevska |
R2 Anna |
R3 Burel |
R4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 64 | |
| pts | 66-46 | 58-44 | 60-31 | 66-42 | 250-163 | |
| Total points | 112 | 102 | 91 | 108 | 413 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 37% | 24% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 43/58 | 29/57 | 30/48 | 23/40 | 125/203 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 51% | 63% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 27/29 | 22/30 | 16/23 | 96/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 93% | 73% | 70% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/15 | 13/28 | 12/18 | 9/17 | 36/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 13% | 46% | 67% | 53% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 3/4 | 5/10 | 7/11 | 21/32 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 75% | 50% | 64% | 66% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 100% | 100% | 40% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Zheng | ||||||
| R1 Podoroska |
R2 Kanepi |
R3 Bronzetti |
R4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 25 | 29 | 18 | 85 | |
| pts | 55-26 | 83-68 | 106-104 | 66-47 | 310-245 | |
| Total points | 81 | 151 | 210 | 113 | 555 | |
| Winners | 13 | 24 | 34 | 13 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 29% | 32% | 20% | 27% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 15/33 | 36/79 | 55/97 | 19/47 | 125/256 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 46% | 57% | 40% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 13/15 | 24/36 | 34/55 | 13/19 | 84/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 67% | 62% | 68% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 25/43 | 19/42 | 16/28 | 72/131 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 58% | 45% | 57% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/8 | 6/13 | 6/12 | 24/44 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 75% | 46% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 27 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/9 | 8/13 | 2/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 62% | 40% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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