Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.444
Andrey Rublev -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev square off. The head to head is 6-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Dubai back in March 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev – Dubai 04-March-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Medvedev reached the quarter after beating Attila Balazs 6-1 6-1 6-0, Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-2 6-76 6-2, Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-2 7-66 and Alex De Minaur 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2.
In the 4th round against De Minaur, Daniil recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 108 points vs De Minaur’s 91. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 11 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 81% (54/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke De Minaur 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (476-189). 31-5 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 212-67 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Medvedev has an overall 53-11 win-loss record in 2023, 31-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Andrey got to the quarter after beating Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-65 6-1, Gael Monfils 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1, Arthur Rinderknech 3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5 and Jack Draper 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Russian defeated Draper (6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Rublev scored 126 points vs Draper’s 98. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Rublev struck 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (53/63) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Draper 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Carlo where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Rublev has a composed 44-17 win-loss record in 2023, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017, 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 14 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 119 | 139 |
| Pts | 440-323 | 480-385 |
| Total Points | 763 | 865 |
| Winners | 186 | 190 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Medvedev and Rublev played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 2 sets, while Andrey Rublev conceded 3 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Rublev (14 vs 15). Therefore, Medvedev played 20 games less than Rublev. Medvedev scored 186 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian scored 190 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 43 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 10.8 | 8 |
| 1st in | 236/387 | 237/392 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 186/236 | 190/237 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 70/151 | 90/155 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 58% |
Medvedev struck 43 aces (10.8 per match). Rublev fired 32 aces (8 per match). Medvedev won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 27 | 20 |
| Converted | 27/53 | 20/51 |
| % Converted | 51% | 39% |
| Conceded | 23 | 18 |
| Saved | 17 | 10 |
| % Saved | 74% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Daniil broke his opponents 27 times with a 51% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 20 times with a 39% conversion rate. Rublev conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R1 Balazs |
R2 O |
R3 Baez |
R4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 6-76 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 7-66 | 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 37 | 29 | 33 | 119 | |
| pts | 81-36 | 136-105 | 115-91 | 108-91 | 440-323 | |
| Total points | 117 | 241 | 206 | 199 | 763 | |
| Winners | 31 | 48 | 53 | 54 | 186 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% | 46% | 50% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 59/109 | 74/120 | 67/104 | 236/387 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 54% | 62% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 48/59 | 53/74 | 54/67 | 186/236 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 81% | 72% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 27/50 | 19/46 | 15/37 | 70/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 41% | 41% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 8/20 | 6/9 | 5/10 | 27/53 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 23 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 10/12 | 4/6 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 83% | 67% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Rublev | ||||||
| R1 Cazaux |
R2 Monfils |
R3 Rinderknech |
R4 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 35 | 37 | 37 | 139 | |
| pts | 117-93 | 116-92 | 121-102 | 126-98 | 480-385 | |
| Total points | 210 | 208 | 223 | 224 | 865 | |
| Winners | 49 | 45 | 43 | 53 | 190 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 36% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 60/96 | 54/103 | 63/95 | 237/392 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 63% | 52% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 49/60 | 45/60 | 43/54 | 53/63 | 190/237 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 75% | 80% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | 21/36 | 29/49 | 21/32 | 90/155 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 59% | 66% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/14 | 6/11 | 4/17 | 20/51 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 55% | 24% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 40% | 60% | 50% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LLLWLLWWLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Vasil Kirkov/Denis KudlaKirkov/Denis Kudla (5-7 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-73 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Robert Galloway/Albano OlivettiGalloway/Albano Olivetti – Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Mackenzie Mcdonald/Andreas MiesMcdonald/Andreas Mies (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Julian Cash/Henry PattenCash/Henry Patten (6-4 6-75 7-66) – See score progression
- Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Tallon Griekspoor/Thanasi KokkinakisGriekspoor/Thanasi Kokkinakis (7-64 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert/Nicolas MahutHerbert/Nicolas Mahut – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-60 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Michael MmohMmoh (6-4 6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-1 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-72 7-68 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel EvansEvans (6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (4-6 4-6 6-1 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (4-6 6-2 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-4 3-6 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Benjamin BonziBonzi (2-6 7-5 7-64 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1 6-0 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-7) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-3) – H2H and prediction
