Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea will fight against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.53
Sorana Cirstea -> 2.51

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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Sorana Cirstea

This will be the 5th time that Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Muchova won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in August 2023.

Karolina Muchova

Karolina Muchova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
19
High
8
LWWLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-17 23-13 0-1 2-1 1-2 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Muchova reached the quarter after beating Storm Hunter 6-4 6-0, Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3, Taylor Townsend 7-60 6-3 and Xinyu Wang 6-3 5-7 6-1.

In the 4th round, The Czech defeated Wang (6-3 5-7 6-1). During the match, Muchova scored 108 points vs Wang’s 88. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Muchova struck 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 65% (40/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (18/46) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Wang 9 times after converting 69% of her break points (9/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Muchova has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (204-100). 27-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has a compiled96-40 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Muchova’s best result of the year was reaching the final at the French Open and Cincinnati.

Karolina has a composed 37-12 win-loss record in 2023, 27-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Muchova's Record

Sorana Cirstea

Sorana Cirstea

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
44
High
21
LWWLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-20 26-14 3-2 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 12-16 9-8 3-5 0-0 0-3 0-0
2023 31-22 21-14 7-4 0-1 3-3 0-0
2022 22-21 10-10 4-6 4-2 4-3 0-0
2021 24-18 11-10 11-3 0-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 30, Cirstea reached the quarter after beating Kayla Day 6-2 6-3, Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-4, Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-76 6-4 and Belinda Bencic 6-3 6-3.

In the 4th round, Cirstea had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-3 6-3). During the match Cirstea scored 65 points vs Bencic’s 47. Cirstea was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Talking about serving, Cirstea fired 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 50% of her first serves in, winning 64% (18/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Bencic 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cirstea has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title the Reus where she beat Elizabeth Mandlik in the final 6-1 4-6 7-6(1).

Cirstea has an aggregate 30-18 win-loss record in 2023, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2009, 2019 and 2020. See her history.

U.S. Open
Cirstea's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Muchova
S.Cirstea
6h:53
6h:53
Time on court​
6h:34
6h:34
!
2h:34
2h:34
Last match​
1h:25
1h:25
4
4
Match played
4
4
84
84
Games Played​
86
86
9
9
Set played​​
9
9
304
304
Total points​
309
309
76
76
Avg point​
77.3
77.3
119
119
Winners
116
116
29.8
29.8
Avg Winners​
29
29
39%
39%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
19
19
1.8
1.8
Avg Aces
4.8
4.8
10
10
Double Faults
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
119/166
119/166
1st won total​
116/168
116/168
!
72%
72%
1st won %
69%
69%
57/111
57/111
2nd won total​
66/121
66/121
51%
51%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
20/30
20/30
BP won
19/34
19/34
5/7.5
5/7.5
Avg BP won
4.8/8.5
4.8/8.5
!
67%
67%
Won
!
56%
56%
20
20
Conceded
26
26
5
5
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
9
9
Broken
9
9
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
11
11
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Muchova Cirstea
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 9
Tot Games 84 86
Pts 304-225 309-243
Total Points 529 552
Winners 119 116
%Winners 39% 38%

Both Muchova and Cirstea played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karolina Muchova lost 1 set, while Sorana Cirstea surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Muchova and Cirstea have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Muchova played 2 games less than Cirstea. The Czech scored 119 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sorana made 116 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Muchova Cirstea
Aces 7 19
Avg per match 1.8 4.8
1st in 166/277 168/289
%1st in 60% 58%
1st pts 119/166 116/168
%1st pts 72% 69%
2nd pts 57/111 66/121
%2nd pts 51% 55%

Muchova managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Cirstea scored 19 aces (4.8 per match). Muchova won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Muchova Cirstea
Won 20 19
Converted 20/30 19/34
% Converted 67% 56%
Conceded 20 26
Saved 11 17
% Saved 55% 65%
Times Broken 9 9

Karolina broke her opponents 20 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Czech surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.

Muchova
R1
Sanders
R2
Frech
R3
Townsend
R4
Wang
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-3 7-60 6-3 6-3 5-7 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 16 18 22 28 84
pts 54-29 60-46 82-62 108-88 304-225
Total points 83 106 144 196 529
Winners 20 24 35 40 119
%Winners 37% 40% 43% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 1 3 7
Double Faults 2 1 0 7 10
1st in 28/42 30/54 46/73 62/108 166/277
% 1st in 67% 56% 63% 57% 60%
1st pts 20/28 24/30 35/46 40/62 119/166
% 1st pts 71% 80% 76% 65% 72%
2nd pts 8/14 14/24 17/27 18/46 57/111
% 2nd pts 57% 58% 63% 39% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 3 2 9 20
Converted 6/8 3/4 2/5 9/13 20/30
Converted % 75% 75% 40% 69% 67%
Conceded 3 0 6 11 20
Saved 1/3 0/0 5/6 5/11 11
Saved % 33% 83% 45% 40%
Times Broken 2 0 1 6 9
Cirstea
R1
Day
R2
Kalinskaya
R3
Rybakina
R4
Bencic
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-76 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 17 19 32 18 86
pts 66-48 61-47 117-101 65-47 309-243
Total points 114 108 218 112 552
Winners 28 23 47 18 116
%Winners 42% 38% 40% 28% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 4 5 19
Double Faults 4 1 3 1 9
1st in 41/70 28/50 71/113 28/56 168/289
% 1st in 59% 56% 63% 50% 58%
1st pts 28/41 23/28 47/71 18/28 116/168
% 1st pts 68% 82% 66% 64% 69%
2nd pts 16/29 15/22 21/42 14/28 66/121
% 2nd pts 55% 68% 50% 50% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 3 6 6 19
Converted 4/8 3/6 6/10 6/10 19/34
Converted % 50% 50% 60% 60% 56%
Conceded 7 1 13 5 26
Saved 6/7 0/1 9/13 2/5 17
Saved % 86% 0% 69% 40% 49%
Times Broken 1 1 4 3 9

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw