Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea will fight against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.53
Sorana Cirstea -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 5th time that Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Muchova won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in August 2023.
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Muchova reached the quarter after beating Storm Hunter 6-4 6-0, Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3, Taylor Townsend 7-60 6-3 and Xinyu Wang 6-3 5-7 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Czech defeated Wang (6-3 5-7 6-1). During the match, Muchova scored 108 points vs Wang’s 88. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muchova struck 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 65% (40/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (18/46) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Wang 9 times after converting 69% of her break points (9/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Muchova has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (204-100). 27-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has a compiled96-40 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Muchova’s best result of the year was reaching the final at the French Open and Cincinnati.
Karolina has a composed 37-12 win-loss record in 2023, 27-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-20 | 26-14 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Cirstea reached the quarter after beating Kayla Day 6-2 6-3, Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-4, Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-76 6-4 and Belinda Bencic 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round, Cirstea had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-3 6-3). During the match Cirstea scored 65 points vs Bencic’s 47. Cirstea was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about serving, Cirstea fired 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 50% of her first serves in, winning 64% (18/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Bencic 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cirstea has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title the Reus where she beat Elizabeth Mandlik in the final 6-1 4-6 7-6(1).
Cirstea has an aggregate 30-18 win-loss record in 2023, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2009, 2019 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 86 |
| Pts | 304-225 | 309-243 |
| Total Points | 529 | 552 |
| Winners | 119 | 116 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Both Muchova and Cirstea played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karolina Muchova lost 1 set, while Sorana Cirstea surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Muchova and Cirstea have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Muchova played 2 games less than Cirstea. The Czech scored 119 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sorana made 116 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 166/277 | 168/289 |
| %1st in | 60% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 119/166 | 116/168 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 57/111 | 66/121 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 55% |
Muchova managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Cirstea scored 19 aces (4.8 per match). Muchova won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 19 |
| Converted | 20/30 | 19/34 |
| % Converted | 67% | 56% |
| Conceded | 20 | 26 |
| Saved | 11 | 17 |
| % Saved | 55% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 9 |
Karolina broke her opponents 20 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Czech surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muchova | ||||||
| R1 Sanders | R2 Frech | R3 Townsend | R4 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-60 6-3 | 6-3 5-7 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 22 | 28 | 84 | |
| pts | 54-29 | 60-46 | 82-62 | 108-88 | 304-225 | |
| Total points | 83 | 106 | 144 | 196 | 529 | |
| Winners | 20 | 24 | 35 | 40 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 30/54 | 46/73 | 62/108 | 166/277 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 56% | 63% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/28 | 24/30 | 35/46 | 40/62 | 119/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 80% | 76% | 65% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 14/24 | 17/27 | 18/46 | 57/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 58% | 63% | 39% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 3/4 | 2/5 | 9/13 | 20/30 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | 40% | 69% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 5/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 83% | 45% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
| Cirstea | ||||||
| R1 Day | R2 Kalinskaya | R3 Rybakina | R4 Bencic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-76 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 32 | 18 | 86 | |
| pts | 66-48 | 61-47 | 117-101 | 65-47 | 309-243 | |
| Total points | 114 | 108 | 218 | 112 | 552 | |
| Winners | 28 | 23 | 47 | 18 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% | 40% | 28% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 41/70 | 28/50 | 71/113 | 28/56 | 168/289 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | 63% | 50% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 23/28 | 47/71 | 18/28 | 116/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 82% | 66% | 64% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 15/22 | 21/42 | 14/28 | 66/121 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 68% | 50% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/6 | 6/10 | 6/10 | 19/34 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 26 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/1 | 9/13 | 2/5 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 69% | 40% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Kevin AndersonAnderson (6-4 5-7 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Steve Johnson/Sam QuerreyJohnson/Sam Querrey – Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Milos RaonicRaonic (5-7 7-61 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Hyeon ChungChung (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Madison KeysKeys (0-0) – H2H and prediction