[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Jessica Pegula’s draw vs Keys, Vondrousova, Sabalenka, Gauff to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Jessica Pegula may need to oust Madison Keys, Marketa Vondrousova, Aryna Sabalenka, Cori Gauff to conquer the tournament in the U.S. Open.

Jessica Pegula Stats info

Jessica Pegula is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The American has defeated Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-2, Patricia Maria Tig 6-3 6-1 and Elina Svitolina 6-4 4-6 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Madison Keys.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jessica Pegula’s projected draw together withherpresumable opposition at the U.S. Open. The American has a weak record (4-6) against the likely opposition.

R1 – Camila Giorgi (52) – 6-2 6-2
R2 – Patricia Maria Tig (700) – 6-3 6-1
R3 – Elina Svitolina (26) – 6-4 4-6 6-2
R4 – Madison Keys (17) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Marketa Vondrousova (9) – H2H 0-1
or Peyton Stearns (59) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (2) – H2H 1-4
or Ons Jabeur (5) – H2H 2-4
Fin – Cori Gauff (6) – H2H 2-1
or Karolina Muchova (10) – H2H 0-0
Pegula
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Jessica Pegula

33 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
5
LLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0
2017 17-10 15-5 1-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2016 47-17 24-10 11-4 4-2 8-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 31-11 record in 2023, 17-7 on hard. As for the last 15 years, Madison has a 220-129 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Keys won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this season was conquering the competition in Australia where she defeated Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2, and in Eastbourne where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 7-6(13).

Last year at the U.S. Open Keys surrendered to Cori Gauff in the 3rd round 6-2 6-3.

H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Madison Keys

This would be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Marketa Vondrousova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Marketa Vondrousova

41 - 18win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 41-18 19-12 9-3 4-2 9-1 0-0
2022 21-7 11-3 2-1 8-3 0-0 0-0
2021 34-19 21-10 4-4 8-2 1-3 0-0
2020 8-10 4-6 4-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-9 9-3 15-3 4-1 1-2 0-0
2018 21-20 12-12 9-5 0-0 0-3 0-0
2017 60-12 14-5 16-3 27-1 3-3 0-0
2016 20-7 0-0 19-5 1-2 0-0 0-0

Marketa Vondrousova has a 39-12 win-loss record in 2023, 18-7 on hard. In the last 10 years, Vondrousova has a 95-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Czech won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the tournament at the Wimbledon where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Czech didn’t take part in the competition.

H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Marketa Vondrousova

This would be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Marketa Vondrousova face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Vondrousova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Jessica Pegula may take on Peyton Stearns. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Jessica Pegula.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

55 - 14win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0
2017 36-25 20-11 2-4 6-6 7-3 1-1
2016 30-18 14-7 6-6 6-5 0-0 4-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 47-10 win-loss record in 2023, 27-5 on hard. During the last 8 years, Aryna has a 181-81 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4), at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4, and in Madrid where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open Aryna capitulated to Iga Swiatek in the semifinal 3-6 6-1 6-4.

H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 6th time that Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Jessica Pegula could square off with Ons Jabeur. Their head to head is 4-2 for Ons Jabeur.

Final – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Jessica Pegula

51 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 42-13 win-loss record in 2023, 31-6 on hard. During the last 7 years, Cori has a 90-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 9 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the year was conquering the competition in Auckland where she beat Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1, in Washington where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3, and in Cincinnati where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Gauff lost to Caroline Garcia in the quarter 6-3 6-4.

H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Cori Gauff face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Jessica Pegula may play Karolina Muchova. Their head to head is 0-0.