[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Pegula, Vondrousova, Sabalenka, Gauff to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to defeat Jessica Pegula, Marketa Vondrousova, Aryna Sabalenka, Cori Gauff to conquer the event in the U.S. Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The American has defeated Arantxa Rus 6-2 6-4, Yanina Wickmayer 6-1 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 5-7 6-2 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Jessica Pegula.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw together withherprojected opponents at the U.S. Open. The American has a weak record (3-5) with the projected opposition.

R1 – Arantxa Rus (45) – 6-2 6-4
R2 – Yanina Wickmayer (85) – 6-1 6-2
R3 – Liudmila Samsonova (15) – 5-7 6-2 6-2
R4 – Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 0-1
1/4 – Marketa Vondrousova (9) – H2H 0-0
or Peyton Stearns (59) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (2) – H2H 1-2
or Ons Jabeur (5) – H2H 0-2
Fin – Cori Gauff (6) – H2H 2-2
or Karolina Muchova (10) – H2H 1-0
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Jessica Pegula

59 - 18win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
3
LWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0
2017 12-9 12-6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2016 21-24 10-10 8-10 0-1 1-2 2-1

Jessica Pegula has a 46-14 win-loss record in 2023, 32-8 on hard. In the course of the last 15 years, Jessica has a 209-113 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jessica won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2, and in Montreal where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open Jessica lost to Iga Swiatek in the quarter 6-3 7-6(4).

H2H Madison Keys vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Marketa Vondrousova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

41 - 18win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 41-18 19-12 9-3 4-2 9-1 0-0
2022 21-7 11-3 2-1 8-3 0-0 0-0
2021 34-19 21-10 4-4 8-2 1-3 0-0
2020 8-10 4-6 4-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-9 9-3 15-3 4-1 1-2 0-0
2018 21-20 12-12 9-5 0-0 0-3 0-0
2017 60-12 14-5 16-3 27-1 3-3 0-0
2016 20-7 0-0 19-5 1-2 0-0 0-0

Marketa Vondrousova has a 39-12 win-loss record in 2023, 18-7 on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, Marketa has a 95-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Vondrousova won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this current season was winning the competition at the Wimbledon where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Vondrousova didn’t take part in the competition.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Marketa Vondrousova

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Marketa Vondrousova since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nevertheless, Madison Keys may come up against Peyton Stearns. Their head to head is 0-0.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

55 - 14win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0
2017 36-25 20-11 2-4 6-6 7-3 1-1
2016 30-18 14-7 6-6 6-5 0-0 4-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 47-10 win-loss record in 2023, 27-5 on hard. In the course of the last 8 years, Aryna has a 181-81 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the season was winning the tournament in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4), at the Australian Open where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4, and in Madrid where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Belarussian lost to Iga Swiatek in the semifinal 3-6 6-1 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys could come up against Ons Jabeur. Their H2H record is 2-0 for Ons Jabeur.

Final – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

51 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 42-13 win-loss record in 2023, 31-6 on hard. During the previous 7 years, Cori has a 90-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 9 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the competition in Auckland where she overcame Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1, in Washington where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Cori was defeated by Caroline Garcia in the quarter 6-3 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 5th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Gauff on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Madison Keys may square off with Karolina Muchova. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.