Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on LOUIS ARMSTRONG STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.444
Alex De Minaur -> 2.78

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 7^th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, De Minaur won 7-6(7) 7-5 in the quarter in Toronto back in August 2023.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev – Toronto 11-August-2023

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 3, Daniil got to the 4^th round after defeating Attila Balazs 6-1 6-1 6-0, Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-2 6-7⁶ 6-2 and Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-2 7-6⁶.

In the 3^rd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Baez (6-2 6-2 7-6⁶). During the match, Medvedev scored 115 points vs Baez’s 91. Medvedev was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev scored 12 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 72% (53/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (19/46) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Baez 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (475-189). 30-5 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an aggregate 211-67 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.

The Russian has a composed 52-11 win-loss record in 2023, 30-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 13, the Australian reached the 4^th round after defeating Timofey Skatov 6-2 3-6 6-1 7-5, Yibing Wu 6-1 6-2 6-1 and Nicolas Jarry 6-1 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-1 6-3 6-2). During the match De Minaur scored 86 points vs Jarry’s 54. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, De Minaur struck 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex De Minaur was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 63% (22/35) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Jarry 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.

Alex has an overall 36-18 win-loss record in 2023, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	De Minaur
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	86	82
Pts	332-232	291-199
Total Points	564	490
Winners	132	95
%Winners	40%	33%

Both Medvedev and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Medvedev played 4 games more than De Minaur. The Russian scored 132 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian managed to score 95 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	De Minaur
Aces	32	11
Avg per match	10.7	3.7
1st in	169/283	119/236
%1st in	60%	50%
1st pts	132/169	95/119
%1st pts	78%	80%
2nd pts	55/114	70/117
%2nd pts	48%	60%

Medvedev recorded 32 aces (10.7 per match). De Minaur struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Medvedev won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	De Minaur
Won	22	21
Converted	22/43	21/41
% Converted	51%	51%
Conceded	17	8
Saved	13	4
% Saved	76%	50%
Times Broken	4	4

The Russian broke his opponents 22 times with a 51% conversion rate. Daniil dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 21 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R1 Balazs	R2 O	R3 Baez	Total
Score	6-1 6-1 6-0	6-2 6-2 6-76 6-2	6-2 6-2 7-66
Tot Set	3	4	3	10
Tot Games	20	37	29	86
pts	81-36	136-105	115-91	332-232
Total points	117	241	206	564
Winners	31	48	53	132
%Winners	38%	35%	46%	40%
SERVE
Aces	8	12	12	32
Double Faults	3	10	7	20
1st in	36/54	59/109	74/120	169/283
% 1st in	67%	54%	62%	60%
1st pts	31/36	48/59	53/74	132/169
% 1st pts	86%	81%	72%	78%
2nd pts	9/18	27/50	19/46	55/114
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	41%	48%
Breaks
Won	8	8	6	22
Converted	8/14	8/20	6/9	22/43
Converted %	57%	40%	67%	51%
Conceded	0	5	12	17
Saved	0/0	3/5	10/12	13
Saved %	–	60%	83%	48%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

De Minaur
	R1 Skatov	R2 Wu	R3 Jarry	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 6-1 7-5	6-1 6-2 6-1	6-1 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	4	3	3	10
Tot Games	36	22	24	82
pts	117-93	88-52	86-54	291-199
Total points	210	140	140	490
Winners	42	24	29	95
%Winners	36%	27%	34%	33%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	2	11
Double Faults	4	2	4	10
1st in	56/106	29/61	34/69	119/236
% 1st in	53%	48%	49%	50%
1st pts	42/56	24/29	29/34	95/119
% 1st pts	75%	83%	85%	80%
2nd pts	26/50	22/32	22/35	70/117
% 2nd pts	52%	69%	63%	60%
Breaks
Won	8	7	6	21
Converted	8/14	7/18	6/9	21/41
Converted %	57%	39%	67%	51%
Conceded	6	1	1	8
Saved	2/6	1/1	1/1	4
Saved %	33%	100%	100%	78%
Times Broken	4	0	0	4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Ben SheltonShelton – Tommy PaulPaul (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Borna GojoGojo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction