Andrey Rublev and Jack Draper will clash against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on LOUIS ARMSTRONG STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.34
Jack Draper -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 3rd time that Andrey Rublev and Jack Draper square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Rublev won 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Washington back in 2022.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Jack Draper – Washington 02-August-2022
Andrey Rublev
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 43-25 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev got to the 4th round after beating Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-65 6-1, Gael Monfils 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1 and Arthur Rinderknech 3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Rinderknech, Rublev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5). During the match, Rublev scored 121 points vs Rinderknech’s 102. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev fired 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was very effective on serve to win 80% (43/54) of his 1st serve and 59% (29/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Rinderknech 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey has lost 2 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (405-222). 16-9 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a composed 153-82 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Carlo where he beat Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Rublev has an aggregate 43-17 win-loss record in 2023, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jack Draper
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 123, Draper reached the 4th round after beating Radu Albot 6-1 6-4 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 6-2 6-4 7-5 and Michael Mmoh 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Mmoh (6-4 6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match Draper scored 121 points vs Mmoh’s 105. Draper was very aggressive to blast 55 winners.
About the serving games, Draper fired 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 58% of his first serves in, winning 86% (55/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (20/47) on the 2nd serve. Draper broke Mmoh 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jack has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Brit’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Draper has a compiled 16-9 win-loss record in 2023, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Rublev | Draper |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
Tot Games | 102 | 92 |
Pts | 354-287 | 323-257 |
Total Points | 641 | 580 |
Winners | 137 | 131 |
%Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Rublev and Draper played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev conceded 2 sets, while Jack Draper lost 1 set. Rublev has played 1 set more than Draper (11 vs 10). Therefore, Rublev played 10 games more than Draper. Andrey scored 137 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit made 131 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Rublev | Draper |
---|---|---|
Aces | 18 | 26 |
Avg per match | 6 | 8.7 |
1st in | 174/297 | 159/273 |
%1st in | 59% | 58% |
1st pts | 137/174 | 131/159 |
%1st pts | 79% | 82% |
2nd pts | 69/123 | 62/114 |
%2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Rublev managed to score 18 aces (6 per match). Draper struck 26 aces (8.7 per match). Rublev won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Rublev | Draper |
---|---|---|
Won | 16 | 15 |
Converted | 16/34 | 15/31 |
% Converted | 47% | 48% |
Conceded | 14 | 12 |
Saved | 8 | 9 |
% Saved | 57% | 75% |
Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Andrey broke his opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
Rublev | |||||
R1 Cazaux |
R2 Monfils |
R3 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
Tot Games | 30 | 35 | 37 | 102 | |
pts | 117-93 | 116-92 | 121-102 | 354-287 | |
Total points | 210 | 208 | 223 | 641 | |
Winners | 49 | 45 | 43 | 137 | |
%Winners | 42% | 39% | 36% | 39% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
1st in | 60/98 | 60/96 | 54/103 | 174/297 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 63% | 52% | 59% | |
1st pts | 49/60 | 45/60 | 43/54 | 137/174 | |
% 1st pts | 82% | 75% | 80% | 79% | |
2nd pts | 19/38 | 21/36 | 29/49 | 69/123 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 59% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
Converted | 4/9 | 6/14 | 6/11 | 16/34 | |
Converted % | 44% | 43% | 55% | 47% | |
Conceded | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
Saved | 3/4 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 8 | |
Saved % | 75% | 40% | 60% | 58% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Draper | |||||
R1 Albot |
R2 Hurkacz |
R3 Mmoh |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
Tot Games | 26 | 30 | 36 | 92 | |
pts | 95-69 | 107-83 | 121-105 | 323-257 | |
Total points | 164 | 190 | 226 | 580 | |
Winners | 37 | 39 | 55 | 131 | |
%Winners | 39% | 36% | 45% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | |
1st in | 44/75 | 51/87 | 64/111 | 159/273 | |
% 1st in | 59% | 59% | 58% | 58% | |
1st pts | 37/44 | 39/51 | 55/64 | 131/159 | |
% 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 86% | 82% | |
2nd pts | 19/31 | 23/36 | 20/47 | 62/114 | |
% 2nd pts | 61% | 64% | 43% | 54% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | 5/9 | 15/31 | |
Converted % | 45% | 45% | 56% | 48% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
Saved | 3/3 | 2/3 | 4/6 | 9 | |
Saved % | 100% | 67% | 67% | 78% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert/Nicolas MahutHerbert/Nicolas Mahut – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-60 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-1 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Michael MmohMmoh (6-4 6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel EvansEvans (6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-72 7-68 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (4-6 6-2 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-4 3-6 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (4-6 4-6 6-1 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Benjamin BonziBonzi (2-6 7-5 7-64 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1 6-0 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction