Daria Kasatkina and Greetje Minnen will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on COURT 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.27
Greetje Minnen -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Greetje Minnen
This will be the 2nd time that Daria Kasatkina and Greetje Minnen face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Kasatkina won 6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in Granby back in 2022.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Kasatkina got to the 3rd round after defeating Alycia Parks 2-6 6-4 6-2 and Sofia Kenin 2-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Kenin, Kasatkina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Kasatkina scored less points (4) than Kenin. In fact, the world no. 14 won 93 points vs Kenin’s. That means that Kasatkina was more focused during the important points. Kasatkina was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina managed to score 3 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 7 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 69% of her first serves in, winning 59% (43/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 27% (9/33) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Kenin 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 51% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (333-187). 13-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has an aggregate 142-102 match record in the last years on hard.
Kasatkina’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide and Eastbourne.
Kasatkina has an aggregate 31-20 win-loss record in 2023, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Greetje Minnen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-32 | 18-19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-20 | 12-6 | 13-4 | 22-6 | 5-3 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 19-21 | 0-9 | 2-4 | 10-4 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| 2021 | 39-27 | 19-12 | 7-6 | 8-7 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Greetje reached the 3rd round after defeating Zeynep Sonmez 6-1 2-6 6-3, Sinja Kraus 7-5 6-3, Katrina Scott 6-3 4-6 6-2, Venus Williams 6-1 6-1 and Sachia Vickery 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Minnen defeated Vickery (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Minnen scored 100 points vs Vickery’s 96. Minnen was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Minnen managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Greetje Minnen lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Minnen put 53% of her first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (22/44) on the 2nd serve. Minnen broke Vickery 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Greetje started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W60 Sunderland where she overcame Mona Barthel in the final 6-2 1-6 6-0 and the W40 Porto where she defeated Tara Wurth in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Belgian has a compiled 50-15 win-loss record in 2023, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 115 |
| Pts | 184-178 | 417-352 |
| Total Points | 362 | 769 |
| Winners | 84 | 145 |
| %Winners | 46% | 35% |
Kasatkina played 2 matches while Minnen competed in 5 matches. Minnen started her run from the qualifications while Kasatkina had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina conceded 2 sets, while Greetje Minnen conceded 3 sets. Kasatkina has played 7 set(s) less than Minnen (6 vs 13). Therefore, Kasatkina played 61 games less than Minnen. The Russian scored 84 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian struck 145 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 138/199 | 202/360 |
| %1st in | 69% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 84/138 | 145/202 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 20/61 | 77/158 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 49% |
Kasatkina fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Minnen fired 19 aces (3.8 per match). Kasatkina won 61% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Minnen won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 27 |
| Converted | 13/22 | 27/53 |
| % Converted | 59% | 51% |
| Conceded | 25 | 43 |
| Saved | 13 | 30 |
| % Saved | 52% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 13 |
Darya broke her opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. Darya dropped her serve 12 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 27 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Parks |
R2 Kenin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 28 | 54 | |
| pts | 91-81 | 93-97 | 184-178 | |
| Total points | 172 | 190 | 362 | |
| Winners | 41 | 43 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 65/93 | 73/106 | 138/199 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 41/65 | 43/73 | 84/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 59% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 9/33 | 20/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 27% | 33% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 7/9 | 13/22 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 78% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 13 | 25 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 6/13 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 46% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Minnen | |||||||
| Q1 Sonmez |
Q2 Kraus |
Q3 Scott |
R1 Williams |
R2 Vickery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 2-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 21 | 27 | 14 | 29 | 115 | |
| pts | 73-65 | 81-67 | 101-88 | 62-36 | 100-96 | 417-352 | |
| Total points | 138 | 148 | 189 | 98 | 196 | 769 | |
| Winners | 26 | 22 | 40 | 23 | 34 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 27% | 40% | 37% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 39/72 | 28/57 | 51/86 | 35/52 | 49/93 | 202/360 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 49% | 59% | 67% | 53% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 22/28 | 40/51 | 23/35 | 34/49 | 145/202 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 79% | 78% | 66% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/33 | 17/29 | 13/35 | 12/17 | 22/44 | 77/158 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 59% | 37% | 71% | 50% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | |
| Converted | 7/7 | 4/11 | 6/16 | 5/8 | 5/11 | 27/53 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 36% | 38% | 63% | 45% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 43 | |
| Saved | 10/15 | 2/3 | 6/9 | 6/6 | 6/10 | 30 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% | 60% | 181% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLW
LWWWLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
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- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (7-60 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas BerdychBerdych (6-72 6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – David FerrerFerrer (2-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Jack SockSock (5-7 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (3-6 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joao SousaSousa – Jared DonaldsonDonaldson (1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Vasek PospisilPospisil (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hyeon ChungChung – Michael MmohMmoh (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Mikhail YouzhnyYouzhny (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jelena OstapenkoJelena – Bernarda PeraBernarda (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Greetje MinnenMinnen (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
