Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on LOUIS ARMSTRONG STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.81
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Keys won 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the quarter in Adelaide back in 2022.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-16 | 4-8 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Ludmilla got to the 3rd round after defeating Claire Liu 7-63 6-3 and Tamara Korpatsch 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Korpatsch (6-3 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 65 points vs Korpatsch’s 45. Samsonova was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Samsonova fired 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Liudmila Samsonova was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (22/31) of her 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Korpatsch 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ludmilla hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.
Samsonova has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (260-147). 18-11 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Samsonova has a compiled91-50 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Abu Dhabi and Montreal.
Samsonova has a compiled 26-19 win-loss record in 2023, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-8 | 3-2 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Keys got to the 3rd round after defeating Arantxa Rus 6-2 6-4 and Yanina Wickmayer 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Wickmayer (6-1 6-2). During the match Keys scored 53 points vs Wickmayer’s 30. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Keys recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Madison Keys was very effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of her 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Madison was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Wickmayer 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 7-6(13).
Madison has an aggregate 30-11 win-loss record in 2023, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 33 |
| Pts | 135-106 | 126-91 |
| Total Points | 241 | 217 |
| Winners | 56 | 60 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Both Samsonova and Keys played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Samsonova and Keys have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Samsonova played 7 games more than Keys. Samsonova scored 56 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Keys fired 60 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 77/124 | 79/105 |
| %1st in | 62% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 56/77 | 60/79 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 30/47 | 16/26 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 62% |
Samsonova bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Keys struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Samsonova won 73% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 60% | 41% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Russian broke her opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Ludmilla dropped her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Keys broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Samsonova | ||||
| R1 Liu |
R2 Korpatsch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 40 | |
| pts | 70-61 | 65-45 | 135-106 | |
| Total points | 131 | 110 | 241 | |
| Winners | 34 | 22 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 34% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/70 | 31/54 | 77/124 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 22/31 | 56/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 16/23 | 30/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 70% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 4/7 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Keys | ||||
| R1 Rus |
R2 Wickmayer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 | 33 | |
| pts | 73-61 | 53-30 | 126-91 | |
| Total points | 134 | 83 | 217 | |
| Winners | 33 | 27 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 51% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/59 | 35/46 | 79/105 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 76% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 27/35 | 60/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 8/11 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 73% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/13 | 4/4 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 23% | 100% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWWW
LWWWLWLWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
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- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas BerdychBerdych (6-72 6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (3-6 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – David FerrerFerrer (2-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Jack SockSock (5-7 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hyeon ChungChung – Michael MmohMmoh (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Mikhail YouzhnyYouzhny (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joao SousaSousa – Jared DonaldsonDonaldson (1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Vasek PospisilPospisil (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jelena OstapenkoJelena – Bernarda PeraBernarda (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Greetje MinnenMinnen (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
