Jessica Pegula and Elina Svitolina will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.48
Elina Svitolina -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Elina Svitolina fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Pegula won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Washington back in August 2023.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Elina Svitolina – Washington 04-August-2023
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-12 | 27-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after beating Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-2 and Patricia Maria Tig 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Maria Tig (6-3 6-1). During the match, Pegula scored 62 points vs Maria Tig’s 39. The American was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula recorded 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 51% of her first serves in, winning 80% (20/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Maria Tig 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (285-162). 31-8 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a composed 172-86 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Montreal where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.
Pegula has an aggregate 45-14 win-loss record in 2023, 31-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-9 | 9-5 | 10-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Elina got to the 3rd round after beating Anna-Lena Friedsam 6-3 6-1 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Pavlyuchenkova, Elina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match Svitolina scored 109 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 101. Elina was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Svitolina made 10 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Elina Svitolina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 55% of her first serves in, winning 80% (44/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Pavlyuchenkova 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Svitolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Anna Blinkova in the final 6-2 6-3.
Elina has an overall 21-11 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 48 |
| Pts | 135-90 | 167-132 |
| Total Points | 225 | 299 |
| Winners | 45 | 66 |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% |
Both Pegula and Svitolina played 2 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina conceded 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Svitolina (4 vs 5). Therefore, Pegula played 16 games less than Svitolina. The American scored 45 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian bagged 66 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 53/95 | 80/139 |
| %1st in | 56% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 45/53 | 66/80 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 20/42 | 30/59 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 51% |
Pegula bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Svitolina blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Pegula won 85% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 83% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/26 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Jessica broke her opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jessica surrendered her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Elina broke her opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Elina conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R1 Giorgi |
R2 Maria Tig |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 32 | |
| pts | 73-51 | 62-39 | 135-90 | |
| Total points | 124 | 101 | 225 | |
| Winners | 25 | 20 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 25/49 | 53/95 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 20/25 | 45/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 80% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/24 | 20/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 42% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 6/11 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 55% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Svitolina | ||||
| R1 Friedsam |
R2 Pavlyuchenkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 32 | 48 | |
| pts | 58-31 | 109-101 | 167-132 | |
| Total points | 89 | 210 | 299 | |
| Winners | 22 | 44 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 25/39 | 55/100 | 80/139 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 44/55 | 66/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 80% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 19/45 | 30/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 42% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/15 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 27% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Greetje MinnenMinnen (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
