Elena Rybakina and Sorana Cirstea will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.31
Sorana Cirstea -> 3.46
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Sorana Cirstea fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-0 6-3 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2020.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Rybakina got to the 3rd round after defeating Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-1 and Ajla Tomljanovic w/o.
In the 2nd round, Rybakina defeated Tomljanovic (w/o). During the match, Rybakina and Tomljanovic scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 4 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Kazakhstani was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Elena Rybakina conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (284-128). 26-7 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall122-62 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she defeated Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 42-11 win-loss record in 2023, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Sorana got to the 3rd round after beating Kayla Day 6-2 6-3 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-3 6-4). During the match Cirstea scored 61 points vs Kalinskaya’s 47. The Romanian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Cirstea recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sorana Cirstea was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Romanian broke Kalinskaya 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sorana hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title the Reus where she beat Elizabeth Mandlik in the final 6-1 4-6 7-6(1).
The Romanian has a composed 28-18 win-loss record in 2023, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2009, 2019 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 36 |
| Pts | 72-52 | 127-95 |
| Total Points | 124 | 222 |
| Winners | 21 | 51 |
| %Winners | 29% | 40% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Cirstea competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Cirstea (2 vs 4). Therefore, Rybakina played 21 games less than Cirstea. Elena scored 21 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Sorana blasted 51 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 28/60 | 69/120 |
| %1st in | 47% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 51/69 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 31/51 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 61% |
Rybakina managed to score 2 aces . Cirstea scored 10 aces (5 per match). Rybakina won 75% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Elena broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Sorana broke her opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sorana conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R1 Kostyuk |
R2 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | – | 15 | |
| pts | 72-52 | – | 72-52 | |
| Total points | 124 | – | 124 | |
| Winners | 21 | – | 21 | |
| %Winners | 29% | – | 29% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | – | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/60 | – | 28/60 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | – | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | – | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | – | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | – | 15/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | – | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | – | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | – | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | – | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Cirstea | ||||
| R1 Day |
R2 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 66-48 | 61-47 | 127-95 | |
| Total points | 114 | 108 | 222 | |
| Winners | 28 | 23 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/70 | 28/50 | 69/120 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 23/28 | 51/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 82% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 15/22 | 31/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 68% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/6 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWW
L Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas BerdychBerdych (6-72 6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – David FerrerFerrer (2-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Jack SockSock (5-7 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (3-6 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Vasek PospisilPospisil (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hyeon ChungChung – Michael MmohMmoh (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Mikhail YouzhnyYouzhny (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joao SousaSousa – Jared DonaldsonDonaldson (1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Kaja JuvanJuvan (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Bernarda PeraPera (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Greetje MinnenMinnen (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
