Jelena Ostapenko and Bernarda Pera will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 17. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.165
Bernarda Pera -> 5.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Bernarda Pera
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Bernarda Pera fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pera (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pera won 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in Jurmala back in 2019.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Jelena reached the 3rd round after beating Jasmine Paolini 6-2 4-6 6-1 and Elina Avanesyan 6-3 5-7 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian defeated Avanesyan (6-3 5-7 7-5). During the match, Ostapenko scored 115 points vs Avanesyan’s 101. Jelena was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko blasted 5 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 6 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 59% of her first serves in, winning 74% (51/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (15/47) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Avanesyan 8 times after converting 73% of her break points (8/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (318-201). 15-10 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a compiled 114-95 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Birmingham where she defeated Barbora Krejcikova in the final 7-6(8) 6-4.
Jelena has an overall 30-16 win-loss record in 2023, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Bernarda Pera
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-22 | 17-14 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-23 | 9-12 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 10-9 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-24 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-13 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, Bernarda got to the 3rd round after beating Veronika Kudermetova 7-5 6-4 and Xiyu Wang 3-6 7-65 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Wang, Bernarda recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 6-2).During the match Pera scored less points (6) than Wang. In fact, the world no. 21 won 92 points vs Wang’s. That means that Pera was more focused during the important points. Pera was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Pera bagged 5 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Bernarda Pera lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pera put 61% of her first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Bernarda broke Wang twice after converting 29% of her break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Pera has an aggregate 20-21 win-loss record in 2023, 9-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Pera |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 52 |
| Pts | 207-177 | 173-166 |
| Total Points | 384 | 339 |
| Winners | 83 | 76 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Ostapenko and Pera played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko surrendered 2 sets, while Bernarda Pera lost 1 set. Ostapenko has played 1 set more than Pera (6 vs 5). Therefore, Ostapenko played 6 games more than Pera. Jelena scored 83 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Bernarda fired 76 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Pera |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 111/209 | 113/181 |
| %1st in | 53% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 83/111 | 76/113 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 37/98 | 37/68 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 54% |
Ostapenko blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Pera scored 8 aces (4 per match). Ostapenko won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Pera won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Pera |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 6 |
| Converted | 14/21 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 67% | 43% |
| Conceded | 24 | 14 |
| Saved | 15 | 11 |
| % Saved | 63% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 3 |
The Latvian broke her opponents 14 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Latvian surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Pera broke her opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Bernarda conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Paolini |
R2 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | 6-3 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 33 | 58 | |
| pts | 92-76 | 115-101 | 207-177 | |
| Total points | 168 | 216 | 384 | |
| Winners | 32 | 51 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 42/93 | 69/116 | 111/209 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 59% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 32/42 | 51/69 | 83/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/51 | 15/47 | 37/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 32% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 8/11 | 14/21 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 73% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 16 | 24 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 10/16 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Pera | ||||
| R1 Kudermetova |
R2 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 3-6 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 30 | 52 | |
| pts | 81-68 | 92-98 | 173-166 | |
| Total points | 149 | 190 | 339 | |
| Winners | 37 | 39 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 7 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 55/86 | 58/95 | 113/181 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 39/58 | 76/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 22/37 | 37/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 59% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/7 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 29% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 1/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 50% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
LWWWLLLWWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas BerdychBerdych (6-72 6-2 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – David FerrerFerrer (2-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Jack SockSock (5-7 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (3-6 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joao SousaSousa – Jared DonaldsonDonaldson (1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Vasek PospisilPospisil (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Benoit PairePaire (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hyeon ChungChung – Michael MmohMmoh (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Mikhail YouzhnyYouzhny (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Kaja JuvanJuvan (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Bernarda PeraPera (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Greetje MinnenMinnen (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
