Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.65
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Paul won 6-3 7-5 in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2023.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Miami 26-March-2023
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-7 | 10-4 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Paul got to the 3rd round after beating Stefano Travaglia 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-1 and Roman Safiullin 3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a tough win against Safiullin to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3). During the match, Paul scored 130 points vs Safiullin’s 129. Paul was very aggressive to blast 66 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul made 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 68% of his first serves in, winning 75% (66/88) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Safiullin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has surrendered 3 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (343-196). 24-9 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has a composed170-97 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Paul’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Tommy has a composed 39-20 win-loss record in 2023, 24-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-11 | 13-7 | 7-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21 (career-high), the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-4 6-4 6-2 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-1 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-1 6-4 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 96 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 59. Davidovich Fokina was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alejandro broke Manuel Cerundolo 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Davidovich Fokina’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Toronto.
Alejandro has a composed 29-21 win-loss record in 2023, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 54 |
| Pts | 247-215 | 189-129 |
| Total Points | 462 | 318 |
| Winners | 110 | 82 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Paul and Davidovich Fokina played 2 matches. At the moment, Tommy Paul dropped 3 sets while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Paul has played 3 sets more than Davidovich Fokina (9 vs 6). Therefore, Paul played 24 games more than Davidovich Fokina. The American scored 110 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 82 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 4 |
| 1st in | 148/224 | 106/156 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 110/148 | 82/106 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 38/76 | 28/50 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 56% |
Paul managed to score 24 aces (12 per match). Davidovich Fokina made 8 aces (4 per match). Paul won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 12/19 |
| % Converted | 48% | 63% |
| Conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 3 |
Paul broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Paul dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R1 Travaglia |
R2 Safiullin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-1 | 3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 44 | 78 | |
| pts | 117-86 | 130-129 | 247-215 | |
| Total points | 203 | 259 | 462 | |
| Winners | 44 | 66 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 51% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 10 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 60/94 | 88/130 | 148/224 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 66/88 | 110/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 19/42 | 38/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 45% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 9/20 | 5/9 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 5/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 56% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Manuel Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 | 54 | |
| pts | 93-70 | 96-59 | 189-129 | |
| Total points | 163 | 155 | 318 | |
| Winners | 45 | 37 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 56/88 | 50/68 | 106/156 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 74% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 45/56 | 37/50 | 82/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 12/18 | 28/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 7/10 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 70% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 2 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 0/2 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 0% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWLW
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-2 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – John IsnerIsner (3-6 4-6 7-63 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Yibing WuWu (6-1 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-76 6-4 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-3 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (7-5 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-4 5-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-6 6-1 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (7-61 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Arthur FilsFils (3-6 7-5 7-65 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-66 6-77 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Andy MurrayMurray (6-3 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-1 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri VeselyVesely – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-65 6-2 3-6 2-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-66 2-6 6-2 7-67) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Dominic ThiemThiem (7-61 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 6-72 6-75 7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 4-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 5-7 6-2 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Titouan DroguetDroguet (3-6 6-2 7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (3-6 6-3 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-3 6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-6 6-1 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Arthur FilsFils (3-6 7-5 7-6(5) 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (7-5 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (6-2 6-2 6-7(6) 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniel EvansEvans (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Jiri VeselyVesely (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
