Frances Tiafoe and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.25
Adrian Mannarino -> 3.96
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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 3rd time that Frances Tiafoe and Adrian Mannarino square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Tiafoe and Mannarino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Tiafoe won 6-1 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2018.
Frances Tiafoe
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Tiafoe got to the 3rd round after defeating Learner Tien 6-2 7-5 6-1 and Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Ofner (6-3 6-1 6-4). During the match, Tiafoe scored 85 points vs Ofner’s 54. Francis was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tiafoe bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Frances Tiafoe was quite effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Ofner 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Tiafoe has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (336-226). 19-7 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has an aggregate 156-106 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-2 0-0 ret. and in Houston where he beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(6) and in Stuttgart where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 4-6 7-6(1) 7-6(8).
Francis has a composed 35-14 win-loss record in 2023, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Adrian Mannarino
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the French player got to the 3rd round after defeating Yosuke Watanuki 7-5 6-73 6-3 7-5 and Fabian Marozsan 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Marozsan, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4 6-1). During the match Mannarino scored 115 points vs Marozsan’s 99. Mannarino was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Mannarino made 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was quite effective on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Adrian broke Marozsan 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mannarino has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Newport where he overcame Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4.
The French player has a compiled 31-24 win-loss record in 2023, 14-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2013, 2014, 2017 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Tiafoe | Mannarino |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
Tot Games | 53 | 81 |
Pts | 199-136 | 267-238 |
Total Points | 335 | 505 |
Winners | 72 | 109 |
%Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Tiafoe and Mannarino played 2 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino surrendered 2 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tiafoe has played 2 set(s) less than Mannarino (6 vs 8). Therefore, Tiafoe played 28 games less than Mannarino. The American scored 72 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian scored 109 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Tiafoe | Mannarino |
---|---|---|
Aces | 15 | 18 |
Avg per match | 7.5 | 9 |
1st in | 87/151 | 148/236 |
%1st in | 58% | 63% |
1st pts | 72/87 | 109/148 |
%1st pts | 83% | 74% |
2nd pts | 36/64 | 51/88 |
%2nd pts | 56% | 58% |
Tiafoe recorded 15 aces (7.5 per match). Mannarino made 18 aces (9 per match). Tiafoe won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Tiafoe | Mannarino |
---|---|---|
Won | 13 | 12 |
Converted | 13/31 | 12/26 |
% Converted | 42% | 46% |
Conceded | 5 | 14 |
Saved | 3 | 10 |
% Saved | 60% | 71% |
Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Francis broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. Francis dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Adrian broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
Tiafoe | ||||
R1 Tien |
R2 Ofner |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 27 | 26 | 53 | |
pts | 114-82 | 85-54 | 199-136 | |
Total points | 196 | 139 | 335 | |
Winners | 37 | 35 | 72 | |
%Winners | 32% | 41% | 36% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
1st in | 47/80 | 40/71 | 87/151 | |
% 1st in | 59% | 56% | 58% | |
1st pts | 37/47 | 35/40 | 72/87 | |
% 1st pts | 79% | 88% | 83% | |
2nd pts | 16/33 | 20/31 | 36/64 | |
% 2nd pts | 48% | 65% | 56% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
Converted | 8/25 | 5/6 | 13/31 | |
Converted % | 32% | 83% | 42% | |
Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Saved | 2/4 | 1/1 | 3 | |
Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Mannarino | ||||
R1 Watanuki |
R2 Marozsan |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-5 6-73 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Tot Games | 46 | 35 | 81 | |
pts | 152-139 | 115-99 | 267-238 | |
Total points | 291 | 214 | 505 | |
Winners | 64 | 45 | 109 | |
%Winners | 42% | 39% | 41% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 8 | 10 | 18 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
1st in | 86/132 | 62/104 | 148/236 | |
% 1st in | 65% | 60% | 63% | |
1st pts | 64/86 | 45/62 | 109/148 | |
% 1st pts | 74% | 73% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 29/46 | 22/42 | 51/88 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 52% | 58% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
Converted | 5/12 | 7/14 | 12/26 | |
Converted % | 42% | 50% | 46% | |
Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5/8 | 10 | |
Saved % | 83% | 63% | 73% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-2 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – John IsnerIsner (3-6 4-6 7-63 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Yibing WuWu (6-1 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-76 6-4 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-3 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (7-5 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-4 5-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-6 6-1 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (7-61 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Arthur FilsFils (3-6 7-5 7-65 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-66 6-77 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Andy MurrayMurray (6-3 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 6-72 6-75 7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 4-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 5-7 6-2 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Titouan DroguetDroguet (3-6 6-2 7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (3-6 6-3 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-1 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri VeselyVesely – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-65 6-2 3-6 2-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-66 2-6 6-2 7-67) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Dominic ThiemThiem (7-61 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-3 6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-6 6-1 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Arthur FilsFils (3-6 7-5 7-6(5) 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (7-5 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (6-2 6-2 6-7(6) 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniel EvansEvans (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Jiri VeselyVesely (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction