Matteo Berrettini and Arthur Rinderknech will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.22
Arthur Rinderknech -> 4.3
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Arthur Rinderknech
There is no head to head record between Matteo Berrettini and Arthur Rinderknech since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-10 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Berrettini got to the 2nd round after defeating Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-4 6-2 6-2). During the match, Berrettini scored 100 points vs Humbert’s 75. Berrettini was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Berrettini made 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Matteo Berrettini was very effective on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Humbert 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (294-147). 9-9 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has a composed 130-68 record in the last years on hard.
Matteo’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Australia.
Matteo has an aggregate 14-11 win-loss record in 2023, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Arthur Rinderknech
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-20 | 1-8 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-33 | 16-13 | 6-7 | 12-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-30 | 5-9 | 10-6 | 8-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-23 | 18-11 | 6-4 | 12-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-30 | 3-3 | 18-10 | 26-15 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, Rinderknech reached the 2nd round after beating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Rinderknech had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match Rinderknech scored 93 points vs Schwartzman’s 69. Rinderknech was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Rinderknech blasted 19 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Arthur Rinderknech was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (44/51) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rinderknech broke Schwartzman 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Zug Challenger where he overcame Joris De Loore in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4.
The French player has an overall 20-22 win-loss record in 2023, 2-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 27 |
| Pts | 100-75 | 93-69 |
| Total Points | 175 | 162 |
| Winners | 40 | 44 |
| %Winners | 40% | 47% |
Both Berrettini and Rinderknech played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Berrettini and Rinderknech have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Berrettini played 1 game less than Rinderknech. The Italian scored 40 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The French player blasted 44 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 19 |
| 1st in | 54/88 | 51/80 |
| %1st in | 61% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 40/54 | 44/51 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 15/29 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 52% |
Berrettini bagged 11 aces . Rinderknech scored 19 aces . Berrettini won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Rinderknech won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 56% | 36% |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 |
| Saved | 7 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Matteo broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Italian extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points. Rinderknech broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The French player was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Berrettini | |||
| R1 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 100-75 | 100-75 | |
| Total points | 175 | 175 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 54/88 | 54/88 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 40/54 | 40/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Rinderknech | |||
| R1 Schwartzman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 93-69 | 93-69 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 19 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 51/80 | 51/80 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 44/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWW
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