Nicolas Jarry and Alex Michelsen will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on Court 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 5 sets.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.49
Alex Michelsen -> 2.62
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Alex Michelsen
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Jarry and Alex Michelsen since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-22 | 2-6 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Jarry got to the 2nd round after beating Luca Van Assche 6-3 3-6 6-2 7-63.
In the 1st round, Jarry defeated Van Assche (6-3 3-6 6-2 7-63). During the match, Jarry scored 140 points vs Van Assche’s 119. Nicolas was very aggressive to blast 61 winners.
Regarding the service games, Jarry overwhelmed his opponent with 29 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nicolas Jarry lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 65% of his first serves in, winning 78% (61/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Van Assche 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Jarry has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (355-223). 8-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Jarry has a composed 63-58 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Santiago where he beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 and in Geneva where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 7-6(1) 6-1.
Nicolas has an aggregate 33-15 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously at the U.S. Open
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-27 | 14-13 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127 (career-high), the American got to the 2nd round after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-4 6-3 6-4). During the match Michelsen scored 95 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 78. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Michelsen scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 67% of his first serves in, winning 78% (43/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Ramos-Vinolas 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Chicago Challenger where he defeated Yuta Shimizu in the final 7-5 6-2.
The American has a composed 46-18 win-loss record in 2023, 24-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jarry | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 29 |
| Pts | 140-119 | 95-78 |
| Total Points | 259 | 173 |
| Winners | 61 | 43 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Jarry and Michelsen played 1 match. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry surrendered 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t lost a set so far. Jarry has played 1 set more than Michelsen (4 vs 3). Therefore, Jarry played 10 games more than Michelsen. Nicolas scored 61 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 43 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jarry | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 29 | 6 |
| 1st in | 78/120 | 55/82 |
| %1st in | 65% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 61/78 | 43/55 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 21/42 | 12/27 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 44% |
Jarry blasted 29 aces . Michelsen recorded 6 aces . Jarry won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jarry | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 31% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Jarry broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Jarry conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Jarry | |||
| R1 Van | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-2 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | |
| pts | 140-119 | 140-119 | |
| Total points | 259 | 259 | |
| Winners | 61 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 29 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 78/120 | 78/120 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 61/78 | 61/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/42 | 21/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Ramos-Vinolas | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 95-78 | 95-78 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 55/82 | 55/82 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 43/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 12/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laslo DjereDjere – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 4-6 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-1 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna GojoGojo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-1 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 5-7 6-2 0-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (3-6 6-3 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri VeselyVesely – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-65 6-2 3-6 2-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 6-72 6-75 7-66 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-4 6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-66 2-6 6-2 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-1 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jakub MensikMensik – Titouan DroguetDroguet (3-6 6-2 7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (8-3) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Daniel EvansEvans (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – John IsnerIsner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Jiri VeselyVesely (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yibing WuWu – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction