Sebastian Baez and Felipe Meligeni Alves will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on Court 10. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.28
Felipe Meligeni Alves -> 3.68

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves

This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Felipe Meligeni Alves clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Baez won 3-6 7-6(6) 6-1 in the final in the Santiago 3 Challenger back in 2021.

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
45
High
18
LLLLLWLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-27 3-9 17-14 0-3 0-1 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 32, the Argentine reached the 2nd round after beating Borna Coric 7-5 7-5 6-1.

In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Coric (7-5 7-5 6-1). During the match, Baez scored 109 points vs Coric’s 91. Baez was extremely aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Regarding the service games, Baez recorded 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 72% of his first serves in, winning 70% (57/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Coric 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Baez has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (216-114). 7-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has an aggregate26-22 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Cordoba where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 6-1 3-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he defeated Dominic Thiem in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Salem where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 6-4 6-3.

Sebastian has an overall 29-20 win-loss record in 2023, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Baez's Record

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Felipe Meligeni Alves

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
227
High
117
LWLLWLLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-13 1-3 15-9 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 36-28 4-8 29-17 0-1 3-2 0-0
2023 36-29 8-6 26-22 0-0 2-1 0-0
2022 33-29 0-3 33-25 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 34-28 1-2 33-25 0-0 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 168, Meligeni got to the 2nd round after beating Dalibor Svrcina 2-6 6-2 6-3, Facundo Bagnis 6-4 6-2, Federico Coria 6-4 5-7 7-5 and James Duckworth 6-4 7-611 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Duckworth (6-4 7-611 6-3). During the match Meligeni scored 117 points vs Duckworth’s 100. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 66 winners.

About the serving games, Meligeni overwhelmed his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Felipe Meligeni Alves lost the serve once and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Meligeni put 75% of his first serves in, winning 76% (66/87) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Felipe broke Duckworth 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Lyon Challenger where he beat Alexander Ritschard in the final 6-4 0-6 7-6(7).

The Brazilian has a compiled 30-21 win-loss record in 2023, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021 and 2022. See his history.

U.S. Open
Meligeni's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

S.Baez
F.Meligeni Alves
2h:35
2h:35
Time on court​
!
7h:56
7h:56
!
2h:35
2h:35
Last match​
!
2h:15
2h:15
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
31
31
Games Played​
109
109
3
3
Set played​​
11
11
109
109
Total points​
389
389
109
109
Avg point​
97.3
97.3
57
57
Winners
170
170
57
57
Avg Winners​
42.5
42.5
52%
52%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
29
29
6
6
Avg Aces
7.3
7.3
1
1
Double Faults
10
10
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
57/81
57/81
1st won total​
170/232
170/232
70%
70%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
16/31
16/31
2nd won total​
59/120
59/120
52%
52%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
16/42
16/42
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
4/10.5
4/10.5
50%
50%
Won
38%
38%
7
7
Conceded
33
33
7
7
Avg Conceded
8.3
8.3
1
1
Broken
9
9
1
1
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
6
6
Saved
24
24
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Baez Meligeni
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 11
Tot Games 31 109
Pts 109-91 389-337
Total Points 200 726
Winners 57 170
%Winners 52% 44%

Baez played 1 match while Meligeni competed in 4 matches. Meligeni started his run from the qualifications while Baez had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Felipe Meligeni Alves conceded 2 sets while Sebastian Baez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Baez has played 8 set(s) less than Meligeni (3 vs 11). Therefore, Baez played 78 games less than Meligeni. Baez scored 57 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Felipe recorded 170 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Baez Meligeni
Aces 6 29
Avg per match 6 7.3
1st in 81/112 232/352
%1st in 72% 66%
1st pts 57/81 170/232
%1st pts 70% 73%
2nd pts 16/31 59/120
%2nd pts 52% 49%

Baez scored 6 aces . Meligeni recorded 29 aces (7.3 per match). Baez won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Meligeni won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Baez Meligeni
Won 5 16
Converted 5/10 16/42
% Converted 50% 38%
Conceded 7 33
Saved 6 24
% Saved 86% 73%
Times Broken 1 9

The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 16 times with a 38% conversion rate. Felipe conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Baez
R1
Coric		 Total
Score 7-5 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 109-91 109-91
Total points 200 200
Winners 57 57
%Winners 52% 52%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 81/112 81/112
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 57/81 57/81
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 16/31 16/31
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1
Meligeni
Q1
Svrcina 		Q2
Bagnis		 Q3
Coria		 R1
Duckworth		 Total
Score 2-6 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-4 5-7 7-5 6-4 7-611 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 3 11
Tot Games 25 18 34 32 109
pts 82-76 71-52 119-109 117-100 389-337
Total points 158 123 228 217 726
Winners 36 26 42 66 170
%Winners 44% 37% 35% 56% 44%
SERVE
Aces 7 0 2 20 29
Double Faults 3 1 3 3 10
1st in 53/86 34/53 58/97 87/116 232/352
% 1st in 62% 64% 60% 75% 66%
1st pts 36/53 26/34 42/58 66/87 170/232
% 1st pts 68% 76% 72% 76% 73%
2nd pts 17/33 11/19 19/39 12/29 59/120
% 2nd pts 52% 58% 49% 41% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 4 5 3 16
Converted 4/9 4/7 5/18 3/8 16/42
Converted % 44% 57% 28% 38% 38%
Conceded 11 2 9 11 33
Saved 8/11 1/2 5/9 10/11 24
Saved % 73% 50% 56% 91% 270%
Times Broken 3 1 4 1 9

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Baez
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Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

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