Daniil Medvedev and Christopher O Connell will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Lous Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.086
Christopher O Connell -> 7.6
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Christopher O Connell
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Christopher O Connell face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the quarter in Doha back in February 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Christopher O Connell – Doha 23-February-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Daniil reached the 2nd round after defeating Attila Balazs 6-1 6-1 6-0.
In the 1st round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Balazs (6-1 6-1 6-0). During the match, Medvedev scored 81 points vs Balazs’s 36. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 67% of his first serves in, win 86% (31/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Balazs 8 times after converting 57% of his break points (8/14).
Medvedev has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (473-189). 28-5 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall 209-67 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
The Russian has an overall 50-11 win-loss record in 2023, 28-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Christopher O Connell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-28 | 19-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-26 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-34 | 19-18 | 11-9 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 30-16 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-16 | 14-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, the Australian reached the 2nd round after beating Max Purcell 6-4 6-3 3-6 7-65.
In the 1st round, O had a good straight sets win against Purcell (6-4 6-3 3-6 7-65). During the match O scored 132 points vs Purcell’s 129. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 65 winners.
Talking about serving, O blasted 18 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Christopher O Connell lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, O put 62% of his first serves in, winning 80% (65/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (22/50) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Purcell 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
O’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Split Challenger and Munich.
Christopher has a compiled 25-26 win-loss record in 2023, 10-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | O |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 41 |
| Pts | 81-36 | 132-129 |
| Total Points | 117 | 261 |
| Winners | 31 | 65 |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% |
Both Medvedev and O played 1 match. At the moment, Christopher O Connell conceded 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than O (3 vs 4). Therefore, Medvedev played 21 games less than O. The Russian scored 31 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Christopher blasted 65 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | O |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 18 |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 81/131 |
| %1st in | 67% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 65/81 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 22/50 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 44% |
Medvedev struck 8 aces . O recorded 18 aces . Medvedev won 86% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, O won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | O |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 57% | 36% |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Daniil broke his opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Daniil quite strong on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. O broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Christopher conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R1 Balazs |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 81-36 | 81-36 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 36/54 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 31/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| O | |||
| R1 Purcell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 3-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 41 | |
| pts | 132-129 | 132-129 | |
| Total points | 261 | 261 | |
| Winners | 65 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 18 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 81/131 | 81/131 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 65/81 | 65/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/50 | 22/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
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- Dominic ThiemThiem – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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