Jessica Pegula and Patricia Maria Tig will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.007
Patricia Maria Tig -> 16.75
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Patricia Maria Tig
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Patricia Maria Tig since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Pegula reached the 2nd round after beating Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 73 points vs Giorgi’s 51. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula scored 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula was quite effective on serve to win 89% (25/28) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pegula broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (284-162). 30-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 171-86 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Montreal where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.
Jessica has a composed 44-14 win-loss record in 2023, 30-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Patricia Maria Tig
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 0-2 | 23-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 66-20 | 1-2 | 53-12 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 700, Patricia got to the 2nd round after defeating Rebecca Marino 7-66 7-61.
In the 1st round, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Marino (7-66 7-61). During the match Maria Tig scored 97 points vs Marino’s 91. Maria Tig was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Maria Tig blasted 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Patricia Maria Tig lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Maria Tig put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Maria Tig broke Marino 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Patricia has an overall 6-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Maria Tig |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 |
| Pts | 73-51 | 97-91 |
| Total Points | 124 | 188 |
| Winners | 25 | 36 |
| %Winners | 34% | 37% |
Both Pegula and Maria Tig played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Maria Tig have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 10 games less than Maria Tig. Jessica scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian fired 36 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Maria Tig |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 2 |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 52/91 |
| %1st in | 61% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 36/52 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 19/39 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 49% |
Pegula fired 8 aces . Maria Tig scored 2 aces . Pegula won 89% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Maria Tig won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Maria Tig |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/15 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 27% | 33% |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Pegula broke her opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Pegula quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Romanian broke her opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R1 Giorgi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 73-51 | 73-51 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 28/46 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 25/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Maria Tig | |||
| R1 Marino | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 97-91 | 97-91 | |
| Total points | 188 | 188 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/91 | 52/91 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/52 | 36/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 19/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
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- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Leonardo MayerMayer (6-75 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Roger FedererFederer (3-6 6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Nicola KuhnKuhn (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Marius CopilCopil (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas BerdychBerdych – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Steve JohnsonJohnson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Guillermo Garcia-LopezGarcia-Lopez (4-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sam QuerreyQuerrey – Radu AlbotAlbot (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Kyle EdmundEdmund (7-64 4-6 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael MmohMmoh – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-64 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Robin HaaseHaase (6-4 5-7 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vasek PospisilPospisil – Andrey RublevRublev (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Patricia Maria TigMaria Tig – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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