Jessica Pegula and Patricia Maria Tig will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.007
Patricia Maria Tig -> 16.75

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Patricia Maria Tig

There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Patricia Maria Tig since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Pegula reached the 2nd round after beating Camila Giorgi 6-2 6-2.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 73 points vs Giorgi’s 51. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula scored 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula was quite effective on serve to win 89% (25/28) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pegula broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (284-162). 30-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 171-86 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Montreal where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.

Jessica has a composed 44-14 win-loss record in 2023, 30-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Pegula's Record

Patricia Maria Tig

Patricia Maria Tig

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
358
High
56
LWLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 0-2 23-15 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 66-20 1-2 53-12 12-6 0-0 0-0
2023 9-16 2-6 4-5 3-5 0-0 0-0
2022 18-4 0-0 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 4-11 2-5 1-4 0-0 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 700, Patricia got to the 2nd round after defeating Rebecca Marino 7-66 7-61.

In the 1st round, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Marino (7-66 7-61). During the match Maria Tig scored 97 points vs Marino’s 91. Maria Tig was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Maria Tig blasted 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Patricia Maria Tig lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Maria Tig put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Maria Tig broke Marino 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Patricia has an overall 6-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.

U.S. Open
Maria Tig's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Pegula
P.Maria Tig
1h:22
1h:22
Time on court​
!
2h:15
2h:15
1h:22
1h:22
Last match​
!
2h:15
2h:15
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
26
26
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
73
73
Total points​
97
97
73
73
Avg point​
97
97
25
25
Winners
36
36
25
25
Avg Winners​
36
36
34%
34%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
2
2
8
8
Avg Aces
2
2
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
25/28
25/28
1st won total​
36/52
36/52
!
89%
89%
1st won %
69%
69%
10/18
10/18
2nd won total​
19/39
19/39
56%
56%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
4/15
4/15
BP won
3/9
3/9
4/15
4/15
Avg BP won
3/9
3/9
!
27%
27%
Won
33%
33%
1
1
Conceded
7
7
1
1
Avg Conceded
7
7
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
3
3
1
1
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Maria Tig
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 26
Pts 73-51 97-91
Total Points 124 188
Winners 25 36
%Winners 34% 37%

Both Pegula and Maria Tig played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Maria Tig have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 10 games less than Maria Tig. Jessica scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian fired 36 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Maria Tig
Aces 8 2
Avg per match 8 2
1st in 28/46 52/91
%1st in 61% 57%
1st pts 25/28 36/52
%1st pts 89% 69%
2nd pts 10/18 19/39
%2nd pts 56% 49%

Pegula fired 8 aces . Maria Tig scored 2 aces . Pegula won 89% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Maria Tig won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Maria Tig
Won 4 3
Converted 4/15 3/9
% Converted 27% 33%
Conceded 1 7
Saved 1 4
% Saved 100% 57%
Times Broken 0 3

Pegula broke her opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Pegula quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Romanian broke her opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R1
Giorgi
Total
Score 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 73-51 73-51
Total points 124 124
Winners 25 25
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 28/46 28/46
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 25/28 25/28
% 1st pts 89% 89%
2nd pts 10/18 10/18
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/15 4/15
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Maria Tig
R1
Marino
Total
Score 7-66 7-61
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 26 26
pts 97-91 97-91
Total points 188 188
Winners 36 36
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 52/91 52/91
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 36/52 36/52
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 19/39 19/39
% 2nd pts 49% 49%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 4/7 4
Saved % 57% 57%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw