Madison Keys and Yanina Wickmayer will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.22
Yanina Wickmayer -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Yanina Wickmayer

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Yanina Wickmayer since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 17, Keys reached the 2nd round after beating Arantxa Rus 6-2 6-4.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Rus (6-2 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 73 points vs Rus’s 61. Madison was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Keys bagged 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (33/44) of her 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Rus 3 times after converting 23% of her break points (3/13).

Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (261-148). 15-7 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an overall 156-90 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 7-6(13).

Madison has an aggregate 29-11 win-loss record in 2023, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Keys's Record

Yanina Wickmayer

Yanina Wickmayer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
741
High
12
LLWWLLLLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-8 0-1 0-4 1-1 2-2 0-0
2024 1-9 1-7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 51-20 11-7 7-2 19-8 12-2 2-1
2022 26-20 10-8 0-0 10-8 6-4 0-0
2021 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 85, the Belgian got to the 2nd round after beating Katherine Sebov 6-73 7-5 6-2, Harriet Dart 6-3 6-4 and Vera Zvonareva 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Yanina had a good straight sets win against Zvonareva (6-4 6-4). During the match Wickmayer scored 68 points vs Zvonareva’s 57. Wickmayer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Wickmayer made 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Yanina Wickmayer lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Wickmayer put 68% of her first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Yanina broke Zvonareva 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Her best result of the season was conquering the title the W40 Tallinn where she defeated Lina Gjorcheska in the final 6-1 2-0 ret. and the W100 Trnava where she overcame Greetje Minnen in the final 6-0 6-3 and the W100 Surbiton where she overcame Katie Swan in the final 2-6 6-4 7-6(1).

Yanina has a composed 45-15 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2009. See her history.

U.S. Open
Wickmayer's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Keys
Y.Wickmayer
1h:26
1h:26
Time on court​
!
6h:03
6h:03
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
1h:34
1h:34
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
18
18
Games Played​
76
76
2
2
Set played​​
9
9
73
73
Total points​
242
242
73
73
Avg point​
60.5
60.5
33
33
Winners
107
107
33
33
Avg Winners​
26.8
26.8
45%
45%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
5
5
Avg Aces
0.8
0.8
2
2
Double Faults
8
8
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
33/44
33/44
1st won total​
107/155
107/155
!
75%
75%
1st won %
69%
69%
8/15
8/15
2nd won total​
45/80
45/80
53%
53%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
3/13
3/13
BP won
12/26
12/26
3/13
3/13
Avg BP won
3/6.5
3/6.5
!
23%
23%
Won
46%
46%
3
3
Conceded
12
12
3
3
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
6
6
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
3
3
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Wickmayer
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 7
Tot Games 18 72
Pts 73-61 235-203
Total Points 134 438
Winners 33 103
%Winners 45% 44%

Keys played 1 match while Wickmayer competed in 3 matches. Wickmayer started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yanina Wickmayer dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 5 set(s) less than Wickmayer (2 vs 7). Therefore, Keys played 54 games less than Wickmayer. The American scored 33 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Yanina blasted 103 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Wickmayer
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 5 1
1st in 44/59 149/226
%1st in 75% 66%
1st pts 33/44 103/149
%1st pts 75% 69%
2nd pts 8/15 44/77
%2nd pts 53% 57%

Keys blasted 5 aces . Wickmayer bagged 3 aces (1 per match). Keys won 75% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Wickmayer won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Wickmayer
Won 3 12
Converted 3/13 12/26
% Converted 23% 46%
Conceded 3 11
Saved 3 6
% Saved 100% 55%
Times Broken 0 5

The American broke her opponent 3 times with a 23% conversion rate. The American pretty effective on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Wickmayer broke her opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Rus		 Total
Score 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 73-61 73-61
Total points 134 134
Winners 33 33
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 44/59 44/59
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 33/44 33/44
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 8/15 8/15
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/13 3/13
Converted % 23% 23%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Wickmayer
Q1
Sebov		 Q2
Dart		 Q3
Vickery		 R1
Zvonareva		 Total
Score 6-73 7-5 6-2 6-3 6-4 3-1 ret. 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 1 2 8
Tot Games 33 19 4 20 76
pts 106-101 61-45 – 68-57 235-203
Total points 207 106 0 125 438
Winners 42 29 32 103
%Winners 40% 48% 0% 47% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 0 2 3
Double Faults 1 2 4 7
1st in 67/108 40/56 / 42/62 149/226
% 1st in 62% 71% 0% 68% 66%
1st pts 42/67 29/40 / 32/42 103/149
% 1st pts 63% 73% 0% 76% 69%
2nd pts 25/41 9/16 / 10/20 44/77
% 2nd pts 61% 56% 0% 50% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 4 3 12
Converted 5/13 4/7 / 3/6 12/26
Converted % 38% 57% 0% 50% 46%
Conceded 4 3 4 11
Saved 2/4 1/3 0/ 3/4 6
Saved % 50% 33% – 75% 158%
Times Broken 2 2 1 5

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Keys
More Stats
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Wickmayer